Math Problem Statement
A share of stock with a beta of 0.75 now sells for $50. Investors expect the stock to pay a year-end dividend of $2. The T-bill rate is 4%, and the market risk premium is 7%.
Suppose investors believe the stock will sell for $52 at year-end. Calculate the opportunity cost of capital. Is the stock a good or bad buy? What will investors do?
At what price will the stock reach an “equilibrium” at which it is perceived as fairly priced today?
Solution
1. Calculating the Opportunity Cost of Capital
The opportunity cost of capital can be calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):
Where:
- (T-bill rate, the risk-free rate),
- (market risk premium),
- .
Substituting the values into the formula:
Thus, the opportunity cost of capital is 9.25%.
2. Stock Value Assessment
Now, let's determine if the stock is a good or bad buy by comparing the expected rate of return with the opportunity cost of capital.
Expected Rate of Return (E[R]):
The expected rate of return can be calculated using the dividend and the expected price increase:
Where:
- Dividend = $2,
- Expected year-end price = $52,
- Current price = $50.
3. Good or Bad Buy?
- The opportunity cost of capital is 9.25%.
- The expected return on the stock is 8%.
Since the expected return (8%) is lower than the opportunity cost of capital (9.25%), the stock is overvalued and is not a good buy. Investors will likely sell the stock, as they can find better opportunities elsewhere.
4. Equilibrium Price Calculation
At equilibrium, the expected rate of return should equal the opportunity cost of capital (9.25%). We can use the same formula for the expected rate of return and solve for the price that will make the expected return match the opportunity cost of capital.
First, convert 9.25% to a decimal:
Now solve for :
Thus, the stock will reach equilibrium at a price of $52.625.
Summary:
- The opportunity cost of capital is 9.25%.
- The stock’s expected return is 8%, which is less than the opportunity cost of capital. Therefore, the stock is not a good buy, and investors are likely to sell.
- The equilibrium price at which the stock will be fairly priced today is $52.625.
Would you like more details on any part of the solution?
Here are 5 related questions you might explore:
- How does beta impact the opportunity cost of capital in CAPM?
- What would happen if the market risk premium increased?
- How do changes in the T-bill rate affect stock valuation?
- What does equilibrium pricing in the stock market mean?
- Can stocks be undervalued based on CAPM alone?
Tip: When assessing stock value, always compare the expected return to the opportunity cost of capital to make informed decisions.
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Finance
Stock Valuation
CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)
Expected Rate of Return
Formulas
Opportunity cost of capital (r) = r_f + β(r_m - r_f)
Expected rate of return = (Dividend + (Expected price - Current price)) / Current price
Equilibrium price calculation: r = (Dividend + (P - Current price)) / Current price
Theorems
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Finance/Economics
Related Recommendation
Calculate Beta for Stock with 14.6% Expected Return using CAPM
Calculate Required Return Using CAPM for a Stock with Beta of 2.8
Calculating Portfolio Expected Return with CAPM
Calculating Expected Rate of Return on PayPal Investment Using CAPM
How to Calculate Beta Using the CAPM Formula: Expected Return, Risk-Free Rate, and Market Premium