Math Problem Statement

Halliford Corporation expects to have earnings this coming year of ​$3.06per share. HallifordHalliford plans to retain all of its earnings for the next two years. For the subsequent two​ years, the firm will retain 52% of its earnings. It will then retain 21% of its earnings from that point onward. Each​ year, retained earnings will be invested in new projects with an expected return of 26.00% per year. Any earnings that are not retained will be paid out as dividends. Assume HallifordHalliford​'s share count remains constant and all earnings growth comes from the investment of retained earnings. If Halliford​'s equity cost of capital is 10.3%​, what price would you estimate for Halliford ​stock? Note​: Remenber that growth rate is computed​ as: retention rate times ×rate of return. Question content area bottom Part 1 The current price per share is ​$enter your response here. ​ (Round to the nearest​ cent.)

Solution

To determine the price of Halliford Corporation's stock, we can use the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) with multiple stages of growth, since the retention rate and growth rate change over time.

Step 1: Calculate the growth rates for each period.

  • For the first two years: The firm retains 100% of its earnings, meaning all earnings will be reinvested. The growth rate will be: g1=Retention Rate×Return on Retained Earnings=1×26%=26%g_1 = \text{Retention Rate} \times \text{Return on Retained Earnings} = 1 \times 26\% = 26\%

  • For years 3 and 4: The firm retains 52% of its earnings. The growth rate will be: g2=0.52×26%=13.52%g_2 = 0.52 \times 26\% = 13.52\%

  • From year 5 onward: The firm retains 21% of its earnings. The growth rate will be: g3=0.21×26%=5.46%g_3 = 0.21 \times 26\% = 5.46\%

Step 2: Determine the dividends for each year.

  • Year 1 and Year 2: Since the firm retains 100% of its earnings, no dividends will be paid out. D1=0andD2=0D_1 = 0 \quad \text{and} \quad D_2 = 0

  • Year 3: The firm retains 52% of its earnings, meaning 48% of its earnings will be paid as dividends. The earnings in year 3 will have grown by 26% per year for two years: Earnings in Year 3=3.06×(1+0.26)2=3.06×1.5876=4.856\text{Earnings in Year 3} = 3.06 \times (1 + 0.26)^2 = 3.06 \times 1.5876 = 4.856 The dividend in year 3 is: D3=4.856×(10.52)=4.856×0.48=2.331D_3 = 4.856 \times (1 - 0.52) = 4.856 \times 0.48 = 2.331

  • Year 4: Earnings in year 4 will grow by 13.52% over year 3: Earnings in Year 4=4.856×(1+0.1352)=4.856×1.1352=5.516\text{Earnings in Year 4} = 4.856 \times (1 + 0.1352) = 4.856 \times 1.1352 = 5.516 The dividend in year 4 is: D4=5.516×(10.52)=5.516×0.48=2.648D_4 = 5.516 \times (1 - 0.52) = 5.516 \times 0.48 = 2.648

Step 3: Calculate the terminal price in year 4 (based on dividends from year 5 onward).

From year 5 onward, the firm retains 21% of its earnings, and the growth rate of dividends will be 5.46%. The dividend in year 5 will be based on the earnings growth rate from year 4: Earnings in Year 5=5.516×(1+0.0546)=5.516×1.0546=5.818\text{Earnings in Year 5} = 5.516 \times (1 + 0.0546) = 5.516 \times 1.0546 = 5.818 The dividend in year 5 is: D5=5.818×(10.21)=5.818×0.79=4.597D_5 = 5.818 \times (1 - 0.21) = 5.818 \times 0.79 = 4.597

The terminal price at the end of year 4 is calculated using the perpetuity formula, since the growth rate becomes constant at 5.46% from year 5 onward: P4=D5rg3=4.5970.1030.0546=4.5970.0484=94.96P_4 = \frac{D_5}{r - g_3} = \frac{4.597}{0.103 - 0.0546} = \frac{4.597}{0.0484} = 94.96

Step 4: Calculate the present value of dividends and the terminal price.

Now, we discount the dividends and the terminal price back to the present using the equity cost of capital (10.3%):

  • D3D_3 discounted to the present: PV(D3)=2.331(1+0.103)3=2.3311.342=1.738PV(D_3) = \frac{2.331}{(1 + 0.103)^3} = \frac{2.331}{1.342} = 1.738

  • D4D_4 discounted to the present: PV(D4)=2.648(1+0.103)4=2.6481.481=1.788PV(D_4) = \frac{2.648}{(1 + 0.103)^4} = \frac{2.648}{1.481} = 1.788

  • Terminal price P4P_4 discounted to the present: PV(P4)=94.96(1+0.103)4=94.961.481=64.11PV(P_4) = \frac{94.96}{(1 + 0.103)^4} = \frac{94.96}{1.481} = 64.11

Step 5: Sum the present values to find the stock price.

Finally, sum the present values of the dividends and the terminal price: Price of the stock=1.738+1.788+64.11=67.64\text{Price of the stock} = 1.738 + 1.788 + 64.11 = 67.64

Conclusion:

The estimated price of Halliford Corporation's stock is $67.64.

Would you like further details on any part of this process? Here are five related questions to expand your understanding:

  1. How does the Dividend Discount Model handle different growth rates in multiple stages?
  2. What factors influence a company's retention rate decisions?
  3. Can you explain the importance of the equity cost of capital in stock pricing?
  4. How does reinvesting retained earnings impact a company's growth?
  5. What is the significance of the terminal value in stock price calculations?

Tip: Always check the consistency of growth assumptions when using models like the DDM for stock valuation.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Dividend Discount Model
Stock Valuation
Growth Rate Calculations
Discounting Cash Flows

Formulas

Growth Rate = Retention Rate × Return on Retained Earnings
Dividend Discount Model (DDM): P = D / (r - g)
Present Value (PV) of future dividends: PV = D / (1 + r)^t
Terminal Value: P_4 = D_5 / (r - g)

Theorems

Dividend Discount Model
Perpetuity Formula

Suitable Grade Level

College level (Finance/Investment Analysis)