Math Problem Statement

Question 1

ABC Corporation is a stable company that pays an annual dividend of $3 per share. The dividend has been growing at a constant rate of 4% per year. The current stock price is $75. The required rate of return for investors holding ABC Corporation's stock is 8%.

a) Calculate the intrinsic value of ABC Corporation's stock using the Dividend Discount Model (DDM).

b) Determine whether the stock is currently overvalued, undervalued, or fairly

valued based on your calculation. c) Suppose the dividend growth rate increases to 5% indefinitely. Recalculate the intrinsic value of the stock and discuss how this affects its valuation.

Solution

Part (a): Calculate the intrinsic value of ABC Corporation's stock using the Dividend Discount Model (DDM).

The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is used to calculate the intrinsic value of a stock based on the present value of expected future dividends. The formula for the DDM, assuming dividends grow at a constant rate (Gordon Growth Model), is:

Intrinsic Value=D1rg\text{Intrinsic Value} = \frac{D_1}{r - g}

Where:

  • D1D_1 is the dividend expected in the next year.
  • rr is the required rate of return.
  • gg is the growth rate of the dividend.

Given:

  • Annual dividend, D0=3D_0 = 3 (current dividend).
  • Dividend growth rate, g=4%=0.04g = 4\% = 0.04.
  • Required rate of return, r=8%=0.08r = 8\% = 0.08.

First, calculate D1D_1:

D1=D0×(1+g)=3×(1+0.04)=3×1.04=3.12D_1 = D_0 \times (1 + g) = 3 \times (1 + 0.04) = 3 \times 1.04 = 3.12

Now, use the DDM formula to find the intrinsic value:

Intrinsic Value=3.120.080.04=3.120.04=78\text{Intrinsic Value} = \frac{3.12}{0.08 - 0.04} = \frac{3.12}{0.04} = 78

Part (b): Determine whether the stock is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly valued.

The intrinsic value calculated is $78. The current stock price is $75.

  • If the intrinsic value > current stock price, the stock is undervalued.
  • If the intrinsic value < current stock price, the stock is overvalued.
  • If the intrinsic value = current stock price, the stock is fairly valued.

Since $78 > $75, the stock is undervalued.

Part (c): Recalculate the intrinsic value if the dividend growth rate increases to 5%.

Now, the new growth rate gg is 5% or 0.05. Recalculate D1D_1:

D1=D0×(1+g)=3×(1+0.05)=3×1.05=3.15D_1 = D_0 \times (1 + g) = 3 \times (1 + 0.05) = 3 \times 1.05 = 3.15

Using the DDM formula with the new growth rate:

Intrinsic Value=3.150.080.05=3.150.03=105\text{Intrinsic Value} = \frac{3.15}{0.08 - 0.05} = \frac{3.15}{0.03} = 105

Effect on Valuation

With the increased growth rate, the intrinsic value of the stock rises to $105. Compared to the current price of $75, the stock becomes even more undervalued.

Summary

  1. Intrinsic Value with 4% growth: $78 (Stock is undervalued).
  2. Intrinsic Value with 5% growth: $105 (Stock is even more undervalued).

Would you like further details on any of the steps or concepts involved?

Related Questions:

  1. How does the required rate of return affect the intrinsic value in the DDM model?
  2. What assumptions are critical for the Dividend Discount Model to be accurate?
  3. How would the intrinsic value change if the required rate of return increased?
  4. What happens to the stock valuation if the dividend growth rate is less than the required rate of return?
  5. Can the Dividend Discount Model be applied to companies with no dividend payments?
  6. How does inflation impact the required rate of return?
  7. What are alternative methods to DDM for stock valuation?
  8. How would changes in market conditions impact the required rate of return?

Tip:

When using the Dividend Discount Model, it's important to ensure that the dividend growth rate is realistic and sustainable over the long term, as this has a significant impact on the calculated intrinsic value.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Finance
Dividend Discount Model
Present Value

Formulas

Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Intrinsic Value = D1 / (r - g)

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced Finance