Math Problem Statement

A farming company wants to know if a new fertilizer has improved crop yield or not. Historic data shows the average yield of the farm is 20 tonne per acre. They decide to test a new organic fertilizer on a smaller sample of farms and observe the new yield is 20.175 tonne per acre with a standard deviation of 3.02 tonne for 12 different farms. Did the new fertilizer work?

Solution

To determine if the new fertilizer has statistically improved crop yield, we can perform a one-sample tt-test comparing the sample mean yield to the historical average yield.

Hypothesis Testing:

  1. Null Hypothesis (H₀):

    • The new fertilizer does not improve crop yield, so the mean yield is the same as the historical average.
    • H0:μ=20H_0: \mu = 20 tonne per acre.
  2. Alternative Hypothesis (H₁):

    • The new fertilizer improves crop yield, so the mean yield is greater than the historical average.
    • H1:μ>20H_1: \mu > 20 tonne per acre (one-tailed test).
  3. Given Data:

    • Population mean (historical average), μ=20\mu = 20 tonne per acre.
    • Sample mean, xˉ=20.175\bar{x} = 20.175 tonne per acre.
    • Sample standard deviation, s=3.02s = 3.02 tonne per acre.
    • Sample size, n=12n = 12.
  4. Test Statistic: The formula for the tt-test statistic is:

    t=xˉμsnt = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}}

    Plugging in the values:

    t=20.175203.0212t = \frac{20.175 - 20}{\frac{3.02}{\sqrt{12}}}

    Let's calculate the tt-value.

Step-by-Step Calculation:

  1. Calculate the difference: 20.17520=0.17520.175 - 20 = 0.175

  2. Calculate the standard error: 3.0212=3.023.4640.872\frac{3.02}{\sqrt{12}} = \frac{3.02}{3.464} \approx 0.872

  3. Calculate the tt-statistic: t=0.1750.8720.201t = \frac{0.175}{0.872} \approx 0.201

The calculated tt-statistic is approximately 0.201.

  1. Degrees of Freedom: df=n1=121=11df = n - 1 = 12 - 1 = 11

  2. Find the Critical Value or P-value:

    • For a one-tailed test at a significance level of 0.05 and 11 degrees of freedom, the critical tt-value is approximately 1.796 (from tt-distribution tables).
    • Since the calculated tt-value (0.201) is much less than 1.796, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Conclusion:

The tt-statistic is not significant at the 0.05 level. Therefore, we do not have enough evidence to conclude that the new fertilizer has improved crop yield.

Would you like any further details or clarifications?


Follow-up Questions:

  1. Would you like to conduct a two-tailed test instead of a one-tailed test?
  2. Is there a specific significance level you want to use (e.g., 0.01 instead of 0.05)?
  3. Do you have additional data for other variables that might affect yield?
  4. Would you like to visualize the results with a plot or graph?
  5. Do you need to calculate the power of the test to ensure it is adequately sensitive?

Tip:

When testing for improvements, ensure that the sample size is large enough to detect even small changes, especially if the standard deviation is relatively large compared to the mean difference.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
One-sample t-test
Statistical Significance

Formulas

t-test formula: t = (sample mean - population mean) / (sample standard deviation / sqrt(sample size))

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced College Level