Math Problem Statement

A survey reported a margin of error of ±1.4%.

How many people were surveyed?

Solution

To determine the sample size based on a margin of error, we typically use the margin of error formula for proportions:

Margin of Error=z×p(1p)n\text{Margin of Error} = z \times \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}}

where:

  • zz is the z-score for the confidence level (commonly 1.96 for a 95% confidence level),
  • pp is the estimated proportion (if unknown, 0.5 is often used to maximize the margin of error),
  • nn is the sample size.

Given:

  • Margin of Error = 1.4%=0.0141.4\% = 0.014
  • Assuming a 95% confidence level, z1.96z \approx 1.96
  • Assuming p=0.5p = 0.5

Let's solve for nn:

  1. Rearrange the formula to isolate nn: n=z2×p(1p)(Margin of Error)2n = \frac{z^2 \times p(1 - p)}{(\text{Margin of Error})^2}

  2. Substitute the values: n=(1.96)2×0.5×(10.5)(0.014)2n = \frac{(1.96)^2 \times 0.5 \times (1 - 0.5)}{(0.014)^2}

I'll calculate this now.The survey would require approximately 4,900 people to achieve a margin of error of ±1.4% at a 95% confidence level.

Would you like more details on the calculations or have any other questions?

Here are some related questions:

  1. How does changing the confidence level affect the sample size required?
  2. What happens to the margin of error if we survey fewer people?
  3. Can we calculate a margin of error for a different confidence level, such as 90%?
  4. How does the value of pp affect the sample size calculation?
  5. What methods can reduce the margin of error without increasing sample size?

Tip: Using a smaller pp when proportions are known can reduce the sample size required, as it adjusts the calculation to real distribution.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Margin of Error
Sample Size Calculation
Proportions

Formulas

Margin of Error = z × sqrt(p(1 - p) / n)
n = (z^2 × p(1 - p)) / (Margin of Error)^2

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Margin of Error in Proportions

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12