Math Problem Statement

You want to obtain a sample to estimate a population mean. Based on previous evidence, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately
σ

37.4 . You would like to be 94% confident that your esimate is within 2.5 of the true population mean. How large of a sample size is required? Do not round mid-calculation. However, use a critical z value rounded to two (2) decimal places. Report final answer as an integer.

n =

Solution

To determine the required sample size for estimating a population mean, we use the formula for the margin of error:

E=zα/2σnE = z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

Where:

  • EE is the margin of error (2.5 in this case),
  • zα/2z_{\alpha/2} is the critical z-value corresponding to the desired confidence level (94%),
  • σ\sigma is the population standard deviation (37.4),
  • nn is the sample size, which we need to find.

Step 1: Find the critical z-value for a 94% confidence level.

For a 94% confidence level, the remaining area in the tails is 6% (since 100% - 94% = 6%), and half of that is in each tail (3% in each tail). So, the z-value corresponding to 97% cumulative probability (since 94% + 3% = 97%) is required.

Using a standard z-table or calculator, the z-value for 97% cumulative probability is approximately:

zα/2=1.88z_{\alpha/2} = 1.88

Step 2: Rearranging the formula to solve for nn:

n=(zα/2σE)2n = \left(\frac{z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \sigma}{E}\right)^2

Substitute the values into the formula:

n=(1.8837.42.5)2n = \left(\frac{1.88 \cdot 37.4}{2.5}\right)^2

Step 3: Calculate the sample size.

First, compute the numerator:

1.8837.4=70.2321.88 \cdot 37.4 = 70.232

Then divide by the margin of error:

70.2322.5=28.093\frac{70.232}{2.5} = 28.093

Finally, square the result:

n=(28.093)2=788.23n = (28.093)^2 = 788.23

Since the sample size must be an integer, we round up (since you can't sample a fraction of an individual), so the required sample size is:

n=789n = 789

Final Answer:

The required sample size is 789.


Would you like a more detailed explanation or have additional questions?

Here are five follow-up questions you might find interesting:

  1. How do you calculate the sample size when the population standard deviation is unknown?
  2. What happens to the required sample size if the confidence level increases to 99%?
  3. How does the margin of error affect the sample size requirement?
  4. How would you interpret the z-value if the confidence level were 90% instead of 94%?
  5. What are the assumptions made in this sample size calculation?

Tip: If you ever encounter a problem with unknown standard deviation, consider using the sample standard deviation in place, but use a t-distribution instead of the z-distribution.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Sample Size Calculation
Confidence Intervals
Z-scores

Formulas

E = z_{α/2} * σ / √n
n = (z_{α/2} * σ / E)^2

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Confidence Interval for Population Mean

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12