Math Problem Statement
You want to obtain a sample to estimate a population mean. Based on previous evidence, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately o = 48.7. You would like to be 98% confident that your estimate is within 10 of the true population mean. How large of a sample size is required? n =
Solution
To determine the required sample size for estimating a population mean with a specified confidence level and margin of error, we use the following formula:
where:
- is the Z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level,
- is the population standard deviation (in this case, 48.7),
- is the margin of error (in this case, 10).
Step 1: Determine the Z-score for a 98% confidence level
For a 98% confidence level, we look up the Z-score that leaves 1% in each tail (because , split between two tails). The Z-score for 98% confidence is approximately .
Step 2: Plug values into the formula
Substitute , , and :
Step 3: Calculate the sample size
- Calculate the numerator: .
- Divide by the margin of error: .
- Square this result: .
Since the sample size must be a whole number, we round up to ensure the desired confidence level.
Final Answer:
This is the required sample size to be 98% confident that the estimate is within 10 units of the true population mean.
Would you like further details on this calculation?
- How does the Z-score change for different confidence levels?
- What happens if the margin of error is decreased?
- Why do we use the Z-score and not a t-score in this case?
- How would this calculation change if the population standard deviation were unknown?
- Can this formula be applied to other confidence intervals, like 90% or 95%?
Tip: Always round up to the next whole number for sample sizes to maintain the desired confidence level and precision.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Sample Size Calculation
Formulas
n = (Z * σ / E)^2
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem (for large sample sizes)
Suitable Grade Level
College Level (Statistics 101 or introductory statistics)
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