Math Problem Statement

You want to obtain a sample to estimate a population mean. Based on previous evidence, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately o = 48.7. You would like to be 98% confident that your estimate is within 10 of the true population mean. How large of a sample size is required? n =

Solution

To determine the required sample size nn for estimating a population mean with a specified confidence level and margin of error, we use the following formula:

n=(ZσE)2n = \left( \frac{Z \cdot \sigma}{E} \right)^2

where:

  • ZZ is the Z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level,
  • σ\sigma is the population standard deviation (in this case, 48.7),
  • EE is the margin of error (in this case, 10).

Step 1: Determine the Z-score for a 98% confidence level

For a 98% confidence level, we look up the Z-score that leaves 1% in each tail (because 100%98%=2%100\% - 98\% = 2\%, split between two tails). The Z-score for 98% confidence is approximately Z=2.33Z = 2.33.

Step 2: Plug values into the formula

Substitute Z=2.33Z = 2.33, σ=48.7\sigma = 48.7, and E=10E = 10:

n=(2.3348.710)2n = \left( \frac{2.33 \cdot 48.7}{10} \right)^2

Step 3: Calculate the sample size

  1. Calculate the numerator: 2.3348.7=113.4712.33 \cdot 48.7 = 113.471.
  2. Divide by the margin of error: 113.47110=11.3471\frac{113.471}{10} = 11.3471.
  3. Square this result: 11.34712128.7411.3471^2 \approx 128.74.

Since the sample size nn must be a whole number, we round up to ensure the desired confidence level.

Final Answer: n=129n = 129

This is the required sample size to be 98% confident that the estimate is within 10 units of the true population mean.

Would you like further details on this calculation?


  1. How does the Z-score change for different confidence levels?
  2. What happens if the margin of error is decreased?
  3. Why do we use the Z-score and not a t-score in this case?
  4. How would this calculation change if the population standard deviation were unknown?
  5. Can this formula be applied to other confidence intervals, like 90% or 95%?

Tip: Always round up to the next whole number for sample sizes to maintain the desired confidence level and precision.

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Sample Size Calculation

Formulas

n = (Z * σ / E)^2

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem (for large sample sizes)

Suitable Grade Level

College Level (Statistics 101 or introductory statistics)