Math Problem Statement

The HRD manager of a company wants to find a measure which he can use to fix the monthly income of persons applying for a job in the production department. As an experimental project, he collected data on 7 persons from that department referring to years of service and their monthly income. Years of service: 11, 7, 9, 5, 8, 6, 10. Income (in Rs 1000's): 10, 8, 6, 5, 9, 7, 11. (a) Find the regression equation of income on years of service. (b) What initial start would you recommend for a person applying for the job after having served in a similar capacity in another company for 13 years? (c) Do you think other factors are to be considered in fixing the income?

Solution

The problem presented involves calculating a regression equation to relate the monthly income (dependent variable) with years of service (independent variable). Here's how to approach each part of the question:

(a) Find the regression equation of income on years of service.

We are given:

  • Years of Service (X): 11, 7, 9, 5, 8, 6, 10
  • Income in Rs. 1000's (Y): 10, 8, 6, 5, 9, 7, 11

The linear regression equation is of the form: Y=a+bXY = a + bX Where:

  • YY = predicted income
  • XX = years of service
  • aa = intercept
  • bb = slope (rate of change of income with years of service)

Steps to find aa and bb:

  1. Calculate the means of XX (years of service) and YY (income).
  2. Compute the slope bb using the formula: b=(XiXˉ)(YiYˉ)(XiXˉ)2b = \frac{\sum (X_i - \bar{X})(Y_i - \bar{Y})}{\sum (X_i - \bar{X})^2}
  3. Calculate the intercept aa using: a=YˉbXˉa = \bar{Y} - b\bar{X}

Let's perform these calculations next.The regression equation for predicting income based on years of service is:

Y=2.0+0.75XY = 2.0 + 0.75X

Where:

  • YY is the predicted income in Rs. 1000s,
  • XX is the years of service.

(b) Recommended Initial Start for 13 Years of Service

Using the regression equation Y=2.0+0.75XY = 2.0 + 0.75X, we can substitute X=13X = 13 (years of service) to find the predicted income.

Let me calculate that next.The recommended initial income for a person applying with 13 years of service would be approximately Rs. 11,750 (since income is given in Rs. 1000's, this corresponds to 11.75 × 1000).

(c) Consideration of Other Factors

The regression model is based solely on years of service, but other factors could influence income. These might include:

  1. Education and qualifications.
  2. Job performance and experience in similar roles.
  3. Industry standards and market conditions.
  4. Skills and additional certifications.
  5. Economic factors like inflation or company profitability.

Since regression focuses on one variable (years of service), adding more variables (multivariate regression) might yield a more accurate prediction.


Would you like more details or have any questions? Here are five related questions:

  1. How do you calculate the coefficient of determination R2R^2 to measure the fit of the regression model?
  2. How can other factors (such as skills) be included in a regression model?
  3. What is the impact of outliers in a regression analysis?
  4. How would you perform a hypothesis test for the slope bb to see if years of service significantly affects income?
  5. How do we interpret the slope bb in practical terms?

Tip: For real-world applications, it's essential to verify that the relationship between variables is linear before relying on a linear regression model.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics

Formulas

Linear regression equation: Y = a + bX
Slope formula: b = Σ(Xi - X̄)(Yi - Ȳ) / Σ(Xi - X̄)²
Intercept formula: a = Ȳ - bX̄

Theorems

Least squares regression line

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Business or Statistics)