Math Problem Statement

The table below gives the number of hours ten randomly selected students spent studying and their corresponding midterm exam grades. Using this data, consider the equation of the regression line, yˆ=b0+b1x, for predicting the midterm exam grade that a student will earn based on the number of hours spent studying. Keep in mind, the correlation coefficient may or may not be statistically significant for the data given. Remember, in practice, it would not be appropriate to use the regression line to make a prediction if the correlation coefficient is not statistically significant.

Hours Studying

0

0.5

1

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

Midterm Grades

62

75

77

79

80

81

83

88

92

98

Solution

To find the equation of the regression line y^=b0+b1x\hat{y} = b_0 + b_1x for predicting the midterm exam grade based on the number of hours spent studying, we'll go through the following steps:

Step 1: Calculate the Means

First, we calculate the mean of the number of hours studied (xˉ\bar{x}) and the mean of the midterm grades (yˉ\bar{y}).

Step 2: Calculate the Slope b1b_1

The slope b1b_1 of the regression line is given by:

b1=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2b_1 = \frac{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}}{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})^2}}

Where:

  • xix_i are the values of hours studied
  • yiy_i are the corresponding midterm grades

Step 3: Calculate the Intercept b0b_0

The intercept b0b_0 is calculated as:

b0=yˉb1xˉb_0 = \bar{y} - b_1\bar{x}

Step 4: Determine the Correlation Coefficient rr

The correlation coefficient rr measures the strength and direction of the linear relationship between hours studied and midterm grades.

Step 5: Assess Statistical Significance

Finally, we determine if the correlation coefficient is statistically significant. If it is not significant, it would not be appropriate to use the regression line for predictions.

Let's perform these calculations. I'll calculate the values for you.### Regression Line Equation The equation of the regression line for predicting the midterm exam grade (y^\hat{y}) based on the number of hours studied (xx) is:

y^=67.42+5.42x\hat{y} = 67.42 + 5.42x

Interpretation

  • Intercept (b0=67.42b_0 = 67.42): This suggests that if a student spends 0 hours studying, their predicted midterm grade would be approximately 67.42.
  • Slope (b1=5.42b_1 = 5.42): For each additional hour spent studying, the predicted midterm grade increases by approximately 5.42 points.

Correlation Coefficient

The correlation coefficient r=0.939r = 0.939 indicates a strong positive linear relationship between the number of hours studied and the midterm grades.

Statistical Significance

Given the strong correlation coefficient, it suggests that there is a statistically significant relationship between study hours and grades, making it appropriate to use this regression line for prediction.

Would you like further analysis, such as residuals, predictions for specific hours, or testing the significance of the correlation?

Here are some related questions:

  1. Would you like to predict a student's grade based on a specific number of study hours?
  2. Should we perform a residual analysis to assess the fit of the regression model?
  3. Would you like to calculate the coefficient of determination R2R^2 to understand the variance explained by the model?
  4. Do you want to visualize the regression line on a scatter plot?
  5. How would you interpret the significance of the correlation coefficient?
  6. Should we explore any potential outliers or influential points in the data?
  7. Are you interested in conducting a hypothesis test to confirm the significance of the slope?
  8. Would you like to compare this linear model with a possible non-linear model?

Tip: The intercept in a regression line may not always have a practical interpretation, especially when the x-value is not close to zero or if zero is outside the range of observed data.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Regression Analysis
Correlation Coefficient
Statistical Significance

Formulas

Regression line equation: ŷ = b0 + b1x
Slope formula: b1 = Σ((xi - x̄)(yi - ȳ)) / Σ((xi - x̄)^2)
Intercept formula: b0 = ȳ - b1x̄

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced High School or College