Math Problem Statement

A sample of 1000 customers this year resulted in 791 responding favourably to a certain proposal, if the original last year's customer's favourable response to the same proposal was 90% of those responding or P = 0.90, is there a change in customer response?

Solution

To determine if there has been a statistically significant change in customer response compared to last year's 90% favorable response rate, we can perform a hypothesis test for proportions. Specifically, a z-test for a proportion can be applied here.

Step-by-Step Solution:

1. Define the Hypotheses:

  • Null Hypothesis (H0H_0): There is no change in customer response. The proportion of favorable responses is still 90%, i.e., p=0.90p = 0.90.
  • Alternative Hypothesis (HaH_a): There is a change in customer response, i.e., p0.90p \neq 0.90 (this is a two-tailed test).

2. Given Data:

  • Sample size: n=1000n = 1000
  • Number of favorable responses: x=791x = 791
  • Sample proportion: p^=7911000=0.791\hat{p} = \frac{791}{1000} = 0.791
  • Population proportion (last year's proportion): p0=0.90p_0 = 0.90

3. Calculate the Test Statistic (z-value):

The formula for the z-test statistic for a proportion is:

z=p^p0p0(1p0)nz = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0(1 - p_0)}{n}}}

Substitute the values:

z=0.7910.900.90(10.90)1000=0.1090.091000=0.1090.009486811.49z = \frac{0.791 - 0.90}{\sqrt{\frac{0.90(1 - 0.90)}{1000}}} = \frac{-0.109}{\sqrt{\frac{0.09}{1000}}} = \frac{-0.109}{0.0094868} \approx -11.49

4. Determine the p-value:

Since this is a two-tailed test, we need to find the p-value associated with z=11.49z = -11.49. A z-value of this magnitude is extremely rare. Looking up the z-value in a standard normal distribution table (or using software), we find that the p-value is almost 0 (far less than 0.05).

5. Conclusion:

Since the p-value is very small, we reject the null hypothesis H0H_0. This means there is statistical evidence of a significant change in customer response compared to last year's 90% favorable rate.

Final Answer:

Yes, there is a significant change in customer response.


Do you want more details about the statistical test or any part of the solution?

Here are 5 related questions to expand on the concept:

  1. How would the hypothesis test change if it were one-tailed instead of two-tailed?
  2. How is the z-test for proportions different from a t-test?
  3. What would happen if the sample size were smaller, say 100 instead of 1000?
  4. How would we interpret the result if the p-value was higher, say 0.07?
  5. How can confidence intervals be used to further interpret the change in response?

Tip: Always check the assumptions of a statistical test before applying it. For a z-test, one key assumption is that the sample size is large enough for the normal approximation to be valid.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Hypothesis Testing
Proportion Z-Test

Formulas

z = (p̂ - p₀) / sqrt((p₀(1 - p₀) / n))

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12