Math Problem Statement

The cost of a project is $50,000 and it generates cash inflows of $20,000, $15,000, $25,000 and $10,000 in four years. Using net present value and the profitability index methods, appraise profitability of the proposed investment assuming a 10% rate of discount

Solution

To appraise the profitability of the proposed investment using both the Net Present Value (NPV) and the Profitability Index (PI) methods, let's break it down step by step.

1. Net Present Value (NPV) Calculation

The formula for NPV is:

NPV=Ct(1+r)tC0NPV = \sum \frac{C_t}{(1 + r)^t} - C_0

Where:

  • CtC_t = Cash inflow at time tt
  • rr = Discount rate (10% in this case)
  • tt = Year (from 1 to 4)
  • C0C_0 = Initial investment ($50,000)

Cash Flows:

  • Year 1: $20,000
  • Year 2: $15,000
  • Year 3: $25,000
  • Year 4: $10,000

The NPV formula applied here:

NPV=20000(1+0.1)1+15000(1+0.1)2+25000(1+0.1)3+10000(1+0.1)450000NPV = \frac{20000}{(1+0.1)^1} + \frac{15000}{(1+0.1)^2} + \frac{25000}{(1+0.1)^3} + \frac{10000}{(1+0.1)^4} - 50000

Breaking this down:

NPV=200001.1+150001.21+250001.331+100001.464150000NPV = \frac{20000}{1.1} + \frac{15000}{1.21} + \frac{25000}{1.331} + \frac{10000}{1.4641} - 50000

NPV=18181.82+12396.69+18785.57+6831.6850000NPV = 18181.82 + 12396.69 + 18785.57 + 6831.68 - 50000

NPV=56195.7650000NPV = 56195.76 - 50000

NPV=6195.76NPV = 6195.76

Thus, NPV = $6,195.76.

Since the NPV is positive, this indicates that the project adds value and should be considered profitable.

2. Profitability Index (PI) Calculation

The formula for the Profitability Index is:

PI=Ct(1+r)tC0PI = \frac{\sum \frac{C_t}{(1 + r)^t}}{C_0}

We already calculated the present value of future cash flows (in the NPV calculation):

Present Value of Cash Inflows=56195.76\text{Present Value of Cash Inflows} = 56195.76

Thus:

PI=56195.7650000=1.1239PI = \frac{56195.76}{50000} = 1.1239

The Profitability Index (PI) = 1.1239.

A PI greater than 1 suggests that the investment is profitable, confirming that the project is worth considering.

Conclusion

  • NPV = $6,195.76, which means the project is expected to generate more than the initial investment, making it profitable.
  • PI = 1.1239, indicating that the project returns 12.39% more than the initial cost, thus a good investment.

Would you like further details on any of the steps?

Related Questions

  1. How would a change in the discount rate affect the NPV and PI?
  2. What are the limitations of using NPV and PI in project appraisal?
  3. Can you compare NPV with Internal Rate of Return (IRR)?
  4. What happens if the initial investment was financed through a loan at 10% interest?
  5. How would delayed cash inflows (e.g., starting from year 2) affect profitability?

Tip: A positive NPV indicates that the investment should add value, but you should also compare it with other projects or alternative investments.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Net Present Value (NPV)
Profitability Index (PI)
Discount Rate
Cash Flow Analysis

Formulas

NPV = ∑ Ct / (1 + r)^t - C0
PI = ∑ Ct / (1 + r)^t / C0

Theorems

Time Value of Money

Suitable Grade Level

College Level (Finance, Business Studies)