Math Problem Statement

Based on the given probability tree diagram, calculate the probability for each outcome (P, R; P, G; B, R; B, G) and confirm the total probability adds up to 1.

Solution

The tree diagram represents a probability model where:

  • Pen choices are Pink and Blue, with probabilities 710\frac{7}{10} and 310\frac{3}{10}, respectively.
  • Pencil choices after choosing a pen are Red and Green, with conditional probabilities 910\frac{9}{10} and 110\frac{1}{10}, respectively, for each color.

Now, let’s calculate the probabilities for each outcome:

  1. P, R (Pink, Red):
    Probability = 710×910=63100\frac{7}{10} \times \frac{9}{10} = \frac{63}{100}

  2. P, G (Pink, Green):
    Probability = 710×110=7100\frac{7}{10} \times \frac{1}{10} = \frac{7}{100}

  3. B, R (Blue, Red):
    Probability = 310×910=27100\frac{3}{10} \times \frac{9}{10} = \frac{27}{100}

  4. B, G (Blue, Green):
    Probability = 310×110=3100\frac{3}{10} \times \frac{1}{10} = \frac{3}{100}

Now, we check that the total probability adds up to 1:

63100+7100+27100+3100=100100=1\frac{63}{100} + \frac{7}{100} + \frac{27}{100} + \frac{3}{100} = \frac{100}{100} = 1

This confirms our calculations are correct. Would you like any specific explanation or breakdown? Here are some further questions you might find interesting:

  1. What is the probability of selecting a red pencil regardless of pen color?
  2. What is the probability of choosing a green pencil?
  3. How would the probabilities change if the pen probabilities were altered?
  4. If you wanted the least likely outcome, which combination would that be?
  5. How would these calculations differ with dependent events instead of independent?

Tip: Tree diagrams help visualize conditional probabilities clearly—practice with different branching scenarios for better understanding.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Conditional Probability
Tree Diagrams

Formulas

P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B|A)

Theorems

Multiplication Rule for Independent Events

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 8-10