Math Problem Statement

The DBHs (Diameters at Breast Height) of the trees in Question 1 (Douglas-firs and Hemlocks taken together) are normally distributed with an average of 20 cm and a standard deviation of 5 cm. What is the probability that the researcher will select a tree that is less 15 cm in diameter?

Solution

To find the probability that a randomly selected tree has a DBH less than 15 cm, we use the normal distribution with:

  • Mean (μ\mu) = 20 cm
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 5 cm

We seek the probability P(X<15)P(X < 15), where XX represents the DBH of the trees.

Step-by-Step Solution

  1. Convert the DBH of 15 cm to a z-score: z=Xμσ=15205=55=1z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{15 - 20}{5} = \frac{-5}{5} = -1

  2. Find the probability corresponding to z=1z = -1: From standard normal distribution tables or using a calculator, we find: P(Z<1)0.1587P(Z < -1) \approx 0.1587

Conclusion

The probability that the researcher will select a tree with a DBH less than 15 cm is approximately 0.1587, or 15.87%.

Would you like a more detailed breakdown or have further questions?

Here are some related questions you might find useful:

  1. What is the probability of selecting a tree with a DBH greater than 25 cm?
  2. What is the probability of selecting a tree with a DBH between 15 cm and 25 cm?
  3. How would the probability change if the standard deviation was 3 cm instead of 5 cm?
  4. What DBH value corresponds to the top 10% of tree sizes in this distribution?
  5. How can we calculate the range in which 95% of tree DBHs fall?

Tip: For normal distributions, converting to a z-score is a useful method for finding probabilities for values not directly given in tables.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-scores
Probability

Formulas

z = (X - μ) / σ
P(Z < z)

Theorems

Standard Normal Distribution
Z-score Calculation

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12