Math Problem Statement

A population of values has a normal distribution with μ=183.3 and σ=48.1. You intend to draw a random sample of size n=25

Find the probability that a sample of size is randomly selected with a mean greater than 166.

P(M > 166) =

Enter your answers as numbers accurate to 4 decimal places. Answers obtained using exact z-scores or z-scores rounded to 3 decimal places are accepted.

Solution

To find the probability P(M>166)P(M > 166), where MM is the sample mean, we will follow these steps:

1. Identify the given values:

  • Population mean μ=183.3\mu = 183.3
  • Population standard deviation σ=48.1\sigma = 48.1
  • Sample size n=25n = 25
  • Sample mean M=166M = 166

2. Calculate the standard error of the mean (SEM):

The standard error of the mean is given by the formula:

SEM=σn\text{SEM} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

Substitute the known values:

SEM=48.125=48.15=9.62\text{SEM} = \frac{48.1}{\sqrt{25}} = \frac{48.1}{5} = 9.62

3. Find the z-score:

To find the probability, we need to calculate the z-score for M=166M = 166. The z-score is given by:

z=MμSEMz = \frac{M - \mu}{\text{SEM}}

Substitute the values:

z=166183.39.62=17.39.621.798z = \frac{166 - 183.3}{9.62} = \frac{-17.3}{9.62} \approx -1.798

4. Find the corresponding probability:

Now, we need to find the probability corresponding to this z-score. From the z-table, or using a standard normal distribution calculator:

  • The probability for z=1.798z = -1.798 is approximately 0.0361 (this is the area to the left of z=1.798z = -1.798).

However, we are looking for the probability that the sample mean is greater than 166, which is the area to the right of this z-score. Thus:

P(M>166)=10.0361=0.9639P(M > 166) = 1 - 0.0361 = 0.9639

Final Answer:

P(M>166)0.9639P(M > 166) \approx 0.9639

Would you like more details or have any further questions?

Here are 5 related questions to expand your understanding:

  1. How does the sample size affect the standard error of the mean?
  2. What is the significance of the z-score in normal distribution problems?
  3. How would the probability change if the sample size increased?
  4. Can you explain why we subtract the z-score probability from 1?
  5. What would happen if the population standard deviation was smaller?

Tip: The standard error decreases as the sample size increases, making the sample mean more likely to be closer to the population mean.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Normal Distribution
Standard Error of the Mean
Z-scores

Formulas

Standard Error of the Mean (SEM) = σ / √n
Z-score formula: z = (M - μ) / SEM
Probability P(M > x) = 1 - P(Z ≤ z)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, College Introductory Statistics