Math Problem Statement
Solution
Let's work through the problem step by step.
Given information:
- Population mean () = 47.5
- Population standard deviation () = 12.6
- Sample size () = 112
We are dealing with the sample mean (), and according to the Central Limit Theorem, for a large enough sample size, the distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normal with:
- Mean of sample means () = population mean ()
- Standard error of the mean () =
Let's now solve the parts:
Part (a) – Finding the probability that is between 45 and 48:
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Calculate the standard error (SE):
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Find Z-scores for the values 45 and 48:
- For :
- For :
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Look up the corresponding probabilities from the standard normal table:
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Find the probability that is between 45 and 48: So, the probability is approximately 0.645 (or 64.5%).
Part (b) – Would it be unusual for to be greater than 48?
To determine if it is unusual, we can calculate the probability that is greater than 48:
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Find the Z-score for (calculated above):
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Find the probability that is greater than 48:
So, the probability that is approximately 33.72%. Since this probability is not very small (usually "unusual" events are considered to have a probability below 5%), it would not be unusual for to be greater than 48.
Do you want more details or have any questions?
Here are some related questions to consider:
- What is the meaning of a Z-score in this context?
- How would the probability change if the sample size were smaller?
- Can we apply the same approach if the population were not normally distributed?
- What is the impact of increasing the population standard deviation on the results?
- Why is the Central Limit Theorem important for this type of problem?
Tip: Always check the sample size. For small sample sizes, you may need to use the t-distribution instead of the normal distribution.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Z-scores
Normal Distribution
Central Limit Theorem
Formulas
Standard Error of the Mean: SE = σ / sqrt(n)
Z-score formula: Z = (X - μ) / SE
Probability of a range of values: P(a < x < b) = P(Z < b) - P(Z < a)
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Properties of the Normal Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
College level (or advanced high school statistics)
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