Math Problem Statement

A student rolls 4 6-sided number cubes with the numbers 1 through 6 on each face. What is the probability that 3 of the 4 cubes land on a 3?

0.01 0.02 0.10 0.17

Solution

To calculate the probability, we can use the binomial probability formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Where:

  • nn = total number of trials (4 dice rolled)
  • kk = number of successes (3 dice landing on a 3)
  • pp = probability of success in a single trial (16\frac{1}{6} for a 3)
  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} = combination formula, n!k!(nk)!\frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}

Step 1: Plugging in the values

  • n=4n = 4
  • k=3k = 3
  • p=16p = \frac{1}{6}

P(X=3)=(43)(16)3(56)1P(X = 3) = \binom{4}{3} \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^3 \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^1

Step 2: Calculate the combination

(43)=4!3!(43)!=41=4\binom{4}{3} = \frac{4!}{3!(4-3)!} = \frac{4}{1} = 4

Step 3: Calculate the probabilities

P(X=3)=4(16)3(56)P(X = 3) = 4 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^3 \cdot \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)

P(X=3)=4121656P(X = 3) = 4 \cdot \frac{1}{216} \cdot \frac{5}{6}

P(X=3)=451296P(X = 3) = 4 \cdot \frac{5}{1296}

P(X=3)=201296P(X = 3) = \frac{20}{1296}

Step 4: Simplify the fraction

P(X=3)=53240.0154P(X = 3) = \frac{5}{324} \approx 0.0154

Step 5: Match the closest answer

The closest probability is 0.02.


Do you want details or have any questions? Here are five related questions for deeper understanding:

  1. How is the binomial probability formula derived?
  2. What is the probability of exactly 2 cubes landing on a 3?
  3. How would the calculation change if the dice were biased?
  4. What is the probability that none of the dice lands on a 3?
  5. How does the combination factor affect the result in binomial probabilities?

Tip: The binomial formula is great for solving problems where you count specific outcomes in a series of independent trials!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution
Combinatorics

Formulas

Binomial probability formula: P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
Combination formula: C(n, k) = n! / [k! * (n-k)!]

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12