Math Problem Statement

Consider a simple random walk; find P (path goes from a to v in time n), where a > 0 and v > 0

Solution

In the context of a simple random walk on the integer line, where at each step the walker moves either left or right with equal probability (1/2 for each), we are tasked with finding the probability P(path goes from a to v in time n)P(\text{path goes from } a \text{ to } v \text{ in time } n), where a>0a > 0 and v>0v > 0.

Key Variables:

  • aa is the starting position.
  • vv is the target position.
  • nn is the number of steps.

Solution:

  1. Step Count Analysis:

    • For the walker to move from position aa to position vv in nn steps, the walker must take a specific number of steps to the right (rr) and to the left (\ell).
    • Let the total number of right steps be rr, and the total number of left steps be \ell. Since each step is either left or right, we have the relation: r+=n.r + \ell = n.
    • The net displacement after nn steps must be vav - a, which means the difference between right and left steps should equal vav - a: r=va.r - \ell = v - a.
  2. Solving for rr and \ell: From these two equations, we can solve for rr and \ell: r=n+(va)2,=n(va)2.r = \frac{n + (v - a)}{2}, \quad \ell = \frac{n - (v - a)}{2}.

    • For this to be valid, both rr and \ell must be non-negative integers. This means:
      • n+(va)n + (v - a) must be even, so nn and vav - a must have the same parity (i.e., both even or both odd).
  3. Binomial Coefficient: Given the number of right steps rr and left steps \ell, the probability of any specific sequence of right and left steps is given by the binomial distribution. The total number of ways to arrange rr right steps and \ell left steps in nn steps is: (nr)=(nn+(va)2).\binom{n}{r} = \binom{n}{\frac{n + (v - a)}{2}}. Each such sequence occurs with probability (1/2)n(1/2)^n, since each step is independent and occurs with probability 1/21/2.

  4. Final Probability: The probability of the walker going from aa to vv in exactly nn steps is then: P(path from a to v in n steps)=(nn+(va)2)(12)n,P(\text{path from } a \text{ to } v \text{ in } n \text{ steps}) = \binom{n}{\frac{n + (v - a)}{2}} \cdot \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n, where nn and vav - a must have the same parity for this to be non-zero.

Summary:

The probability depends on the number of steps nn and the initial and target positions aa and vv. It is computed using binomial coefficients, and the condition that nn and vav - a must have the same parity is critical for the solution to exist.

Do you have any questions or need more details? Here are some related questions to explore further:

  1. How would the formula change if the random walk was biased, i.e., unequal probabilities for left and right steps?
  2. What happens if the walker is allowed to stay in place (i.e., a step with probability pp of no movement)?
  3. How would this change in higher dimensions, such as a 2D or 3D random walk?
  4. What is the expected number of steps to reach vv starting from aa?
  5. Can we compute the probability that the path crosses a given position xx before reaching vv?

Tip: Random walks are deeply connected to diffusion processes and Brownian motion, key concepts in both probability theory and physics.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Random Walks
Combinatorics
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

r + l = n
r - l = v - a
r = (n + (v - a)) / 2
P(path from a to v in n steps) = (binomial(n, (n + (v - a)) / 2)) * (1/2)^n

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Advanced Probability/Statistics)