Math Problem Statement
Solve this problem related to the image: If a package selected at random come from Machine B, what is the probability that it's properly sealed?
Solution
We are asked to find the probability that a randomly selected package comes from Machine B and is properly sealed.
Given Information:
- : Probability the package comes from Machine A.
- : Probability the package comes from Machine B.
- : Probability the package is improperly sealed.
- : Probability the package is properly sealed.
- : Probability the package comes from Machine A and is improperly sealed.
To solve:
We are asked to find the conditional probability that the package is properly sealed given that it comes from Machine B, i.e., .
We can apply the following rule for conditional probability:
We already know , but we need to find , the probability that the package is from Machine B and properly sealed. To find this, we can use the fact that the total probability for being improperly sealed is , and it includes contributions from both machines.
Since , this means the remaining of improperly sealed packages must come from Machine B, i.e., .
Thus, the probability that the package is properly sealed from Machine B is:
Now, applying the conditional probability formula:
Thus, the probability that a package from Machine B is properly sealed is 0.975 or 97.5%.
Let me know if you need further details or have any questions!
Relative questions:
- What is the probability that a package from Machine A is improperly sealed?
- What is the probability that a randomly selected package is improperly sealed, regardless of the machine?
- If a package is improperly sealed, what is the probability that it came from Machine A?
- What is the probability that a package from Machine B is improperly sealed?
- What is the overall probability that a package from either machine is properly sealed?
Tip:
For probability problems involving conditional events, always break the problem down by calculating joint probabilities, and then apply conditional probability formulas to get accurate results.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Conditional Probability
Joint Probability
Probability Rules
Formulas
Conditional probability formula: P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)
Joint probability: P(S ∩ B) = P(B) - P(B ∩ I)
Theorems
Law of Total Probability
Bayes' Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12
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