Math Problem Statement

A random variable X takes the values 1, 2, 3 and 4 such that

P(X=1)=P(X=2)=2P(X=3)=3P(X=4).Write the probability distribution of X and find

(i) P(X>2), (ii) P(1<X<4//X>2), (iii)P(X= 1or 2).

Solution

To solve this, let's first express the probability distribution of the random variable XX.

Step 1: Express the probabilities in terms of a common variable

Let the probability P(X=1)=P(X=2)=pP(X = 1) = P(X = 2) = p.

From the given conditions: P(X=3)=p2,P(X=4)=p3.P(X = 3) = \frac{p}{2}, \quad P(X = 4) = \frac{p}{3}.

Now, the total probability must sum to 1: P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)=1.P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) = 1. Substitute the probabilities: p+p+p2+p3=1.p + p + \frac{p}{2} + \frac{p}{3} = 1. Simplify the left-hand side: 2p+p2+p3=1.2p + \frac{p}{2} + \frac{p}{3} = 1. To combine these, find the least common denominator, which is 6: 2p=12p6,p2=3p6,p3=2p6.2p = \frac{12p}{6}, \quad \frac{p}{2} = \frac{3p}{6}, \quad \frac{p}{3} = \frac{2p}{6}. Now add the fractions: 12p+3p+2p6=117p6=1.\frac{12p + 3p + 2p}{6} = 1 \quad \Rightarrow \quad \frac{17p}{6} = 1. Solve for pp: p=617.p = \frac{6}{17}.

Thus, the probabilities are: P(X=1)=P(X=2)=617,P(X=3)=317,P(X=4)=217.P(X = 1) = P(X = 2) = \frac{6}{17}, \quad P(X = 3) = \frac{3}{17}, \quad P(X = 4) = \frac{2}{17}.

Step 2: Find the required probabilities

(i) P(X>2)P(X > 2)

This is the probability that X=3X = 3 or X=4X = 4: P(X>2)=P(X=3)+P(X=4)=317+217=517.P(X > 2) = P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) = \frac{3}{17} + \frac{2}{17} = \frac{5}{17}.

(ii) P(1<X<4X>2)P(1 < X < 4 \mid X > 2)

We are asked to find the conditional probability P(1<X<4X>2)P(1 < X < 4 \mid X > 2).

First, find P(1<X<4)P(1 < X < 4), which is the probability that X=3X = 3: P(1<X<4)=P(X=3)=317.P(1 < X < 4) = P(X = 3) = \frac{3}{17}. Now, the probability P(X>2)P(X > 2) is already computed as 517\frac{5}{17}.

So the conditional probability is: P(1<X<4X>2)=P(1<X<4X>2)P(X>2)=P(X=3)P(X>2)=317517=35.P(1 < X < 4 \mid X > 2) = \frac{P(1 < X < 4 \cap X > 2)}{P(X > 2)} = \frac{P(X = 3)}{P(X > 2)} = \frac{\frac{3}{17}}{\frac{5}{17}} = \frac{3}{5}.

(iii) P(X=1 or 2)P(X = 1 \text{ or } 2)

This is the probability that X=1X = 1 or X=2X = 2: P(X=1 or 2)=P(X=1)+P(X=2)=617+617=1217.P(X = 1 \text{ or } 2) = P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = \frac{6}{17} + \frac{6}{17} = \frac{12}{17}.

Final Answers:

  1. P(X>2)=517P(X > 2) = \frac{5}{17}
  2. P(1<X<4X>2)=35P(1 < X < 4 \mid X > 2) = \frac{3}{5}
  3. P(X=1 or 2)=1217P(X = 1 \text{ or } 2) = \frac{12}{17}

Would you like further details on any part of the solution?

Here are some related questions you might find interesting:

  1. How do you compute the expected value of XX?
  2. What is the variance of XX?
  3. How do conditional probabilities work in different types of probability distributions?
  4. What is the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for XX?
  5. How would you solve if the probabilities were not equal at first?

Tip: Conditional probabilities are always calculated by dividing the joint probability by the probability of the given condition.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Random Variables
Probability Distribution

Formulas

P(X=1) = P(X=2) = p
P(X=3) = p/2
P(X=4) = p/3
Total Probability: P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) + P(X=4) = 1
Conditional Probability: P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)

Theorems

Law of Total Probability
Basic Properties of Probability
Conditional Probability

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12