Math Problem Statement
Solution
This problem involves finding the probability of a randomly selected integrated circuit (IC) being defective, considering the total ICs purchased from different suppliers and their respective defect rates.
Let's solve step by step.
Step 1: Definitions
Let:
- , , denote suppliers A, B, and C.
- denote the event that an IC is defective.
We are given:
- Probability that an IC comes from supplier :
, - Probability that an IC comes from supplier :
, - Probability that an IC comes from supplier :
.
Defect probabilities for each supplier:
- ,
- ,
- .
Step 2: Use the Law of Total Probability
The total probability of a defect is given by:
Step 3: Substitute Values
Substituting the given values:
Step 4: Simplify
Evaluate each term:
- ,
- ,
- .
Add these probabilities:
Final Answer:
The probability that a randomly selected IC is defective is approximately:
Would you like a detailed explanation of any step?
Here are five related questions to explore further:
- How would the probability change if the defect rate for supplier were different?
- What is the probability that a defective IC came from supplier ?
- Can we generalize this problem to more suppliers with similar data?
- How can we apply Bayes' theorem to this problem?
- What is the role of the law of total probability in solving such problems?
Tip: Always verify your probabilities add up to 1 when partitioning events across disjoint cases.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Conditional Probability
Law of Total Probability
Formulas
P(D) = P(D|A)P(A) + P(D|B)P(B) + P(D|C)P(C)
Theorems
Law of Total Probability
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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