Math Problem Statement

In a certain year, 44.9% of all light vehicles were cars, and the rest were pickups or SUVs. The probability that a severe side-impact crash would prove deadly to a driver depended on the type of vehicle he or she was driving at the time, as shown in the table. What is the probability that the victim of a deadly side-impact accident was driving a car? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

Solution

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Bayes' Theorem
Conditional Probability

Formulas

P(Car | Deadly) = (P(Deadly | Car) * P(Car)) / P(Deadly)
P(Deadly) = P(Deadly | Car) * P(Car) + P(Deadly | Pickup or SUV) * P(Pickup or SUV)

Theorems

Bayes' Theorem
Law of Total Probability

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or College Level