Math Problem Statement

Question 17: The probability that a caller will hang up before speaking to a customer service representative is 40%. Of the next three callers wishing to speak to a customer service representative, what is the probability that one or more will hang up? Question 18: A random sample of male nontraditional students at a Midwestern University yields the following ages (in years): 52, 68, 22, 35, 30, 56, 39, 48. It is known that the ages are normally distributed. For this data, the sample mean is 43.75 and the sample standard deviation is 15.05. The 99% confidence interval for the mean age of such students, based upon this data, is?

Solution

Let's solve these two problems:


Question 17:

The probability of a caller hanging up is 40% (P(H)=0.4P(H) = 0.4). We are asked for the probability that one or more callers will hang up out of the next three.

The probability of at least one caller hanging up can be calculated using the complement rule: P(at least one hangs up)=1P(none hang up)P(\text{at least one hangs up}) = 1 - P(\text{none hang up})

  1. The probability of no one hanging up is: P(none hang up)=(10.4)3=0.63=0.216P(\text{none hang up}) = (1 - 0.4)^3 = 0.6^3 = 0.216

  2. Therefore: P(at least one hangs up)=10.216=0.784P(\text{at least one hangs up}) = 1 - 0.216 = 0.784

Thus, the correct answer is 0.784.


Question 18:

We are constructing a 99% confidence interval for the mean age of male nontraditional students. The data provided includes:

  • Sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}) = 43.75
  • Sample standard deviation (ss) = 15.05
  • Sample size (nn) = 8
  • Confidence level = 99%
  1. Find the critical tt^*-value for a 99% confidence level with n1=7n-1 = 7 degrees of freedom: Using a tt-table or calculator, the critical tt^*-value is approximately t=3.499t^* = 3.499.

  2. Compute the margin of error (ME): ME=tsn=3.49915.058=3.4995.324=18.65ME = t^* \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = 3.499 \cdot \frac{15.05}{\sqrt{8}} = 3.499 \cdot 5.324 = 18.65

  3. Calculate the confidence interval: CI=xˉ±ME=43.75±18.65\text{CI} = \bar{x} \pm ME = 43.75 \pm 18.65

This results in: CI=(25.10,62.40)\text{CI} = (25.10, 62.40)

Thus, the 99% confidence interval is (25.10, 62.40).


If you'd like, I can provide further explanation or calculations. Let me know!

Follow-up Questions:

  1. Why is the complement rule useful in calculating probabilities involving "at least one" events?
  2. How is the critical tt^*-value determined for confidence intervals?
  3. What assumptions must hold for the confidence interval calculation to be valid?
  4. How would the interval change if the confidence level was reduced to 95%?
  5. Can the process for determining P(at least one hangs up)P(\text{at least one hangs up}) be generalized for any number of callers?

Tip: When solving probability questions, always check if the complement rule simplifies the calculation—it often reduces complexity.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Statistical Inference
Confidence Intervals

Formulas

P(at least one event) = 1 - P(none of the events)
t-confidence interval: CI = x̄ ± t* * (s / √n)

Theorems

Complement Rule in Probability
Student's t-distribution for confidence intervals

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level