Math Problem Statement

A coin is tossed three times. An outcome is represented by a string of the sort HTT (meaning heads on the first toss, followed by two tails). The 8 outcomes are listed below. Assume that each outcome has the same probability. Complete the following. Write your answers as fractions. (a) Check the outcomes for each of the three events below. Then, enter the probability of each event. (b) Suppose not all tosses are the same. Then enter the probability that Event A occurs given that Event B occurs. (c) Calculate the following probabilities and select the correct option below.

Solution

The image shows a probability problem involving a coin being tossed three times, with each outcome equally likely. The problem involves analyzing various events based on the outcomes of the tosses, such as getting two heads or ensuring not all tosses are the same. Let's break down the solution step by step:

Part (a): Determine the outcomes and probability of each event

  • The possible outcomes of tossing a coin three times are:
    • HHH,HHT,HTH,HTT,THH,THT,TTH,TTTHHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT (Total: 8 outcomes)
    • Each outcome has a probability of 18\frac{1}{8}.

For the events described:

  • Event A: Exactly two tosses are heads.

    • The outcomes with exactly two heads are: HHT,HTH,THHHHT, HTH, THH.
    • Probability: 38\frac{3}{8}.
  • Event B: Not all tosses are the same (i.e., the outcome is not HHHHHH or TTTTTT).

    • The outcomes where not all tosses are the same are: HHT,HTH,HTT,THH,THT,TTHHHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH.
    • Probability: 68=34\frac{6}{8} = \frac{3}{4}.
  • Event A and B: Exactly two heads and not all tosses are the same.

    • The outcomes for Event A are HHT,HTH,THHHHT, HTH, THH, and these outcomes are also in Event B (since none of them are HHHHHH or TTTTTT).
    • Probability: 38\frac{3}{8}.

Part (b): Given Event B, what is the probability of Event A?

Here, we use conditional probability:

  • P(AB)=P(A and B)P(B)P(A | B) = \frac{P(A \text{ and } B)}{P(B)}
  • P(A and B)=38P(A \text{ and } B) = \frac{3}{8}
  • P(B)=68=34P(B) = \frac{6}{8} = \frac{3}{4}

Thus: P(AB)=3834=38×43=12P(A | B) = \frac{\frac{3}{8}}{\frac{3}{4}} = \frac{3}{8} \times \frac{4}{3} = \frac{1}{2}

Part (c): Calculate the following probabilities

  • P(A and B)P(B)\frac{P(A \text{ and } B)}{P(B)}:

    • As found in Part (b), this is 12\frac{1}{2}.
  • P(AB)P(A | B):

    • Already calculated, this is 12\frac{1}{2}.

If you need more details or have any questions about this, feel free to ask!

Related questions:

  1. How is the probability of a single outcome in coin tossing calculated?
  2. What is the difference between independent and mutually exclusive events in probability?
  3. How does conditional probability differ from regular probability?
  4. Can you provide an example where P(AB)P(A | B) is different from P(BA)P(B | A)?
  5. What is Bayes' theorem, and how does it relate to conditional probability?

Tip:

When dealing with conditional probability, always check if the total probability space changes, as you are focusing on a subset of all possible outcomes.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Conditional Probability

Formulas

P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B | A)
Conditional Probability: P(A | B) = P(A and B) / P(B)

Theorems

Law of Total Probability
Conditional Probability

Suitable Grade Level

Grade 9-12