Math Problem Statement

Olkoon S = {0, 1, ..., 9} peräkkäisistä kokonaisluvuista koostuva otosavaruus ja olkoot A = {0, 2, 5, 6} ja B = {3, 6} tapahtumia. Laske seuraavat todennäköisyydet, kun oletetaan, että kaikki alkeistapahtumat ovat yhtä todennäköisiä. P(A), P(A ∩ B), P(A | B), P(B | A).

Solution

Let's analyze the problem presented in the image.

Problem Details:

  • The sample space S={0,1,,9}S = \{0, 1, \dots, 9\} consists of integers from 0 to 9.
  • The events are given as:
    • A={0,2,5,6}A = \{0, 2, 5, 6\}
    • B={3,6}B = \{3, 6\}

We are tasked with calculating the following probabilities under the assumption that all elementary events are equally likely:

  1. P(A)P(A) (the probability of event AA),
  2. P(AB)P(A \cap B) (the probability of the intersection of AA and BB),
  3. P(AB)P(A \mid B) (the conditional probability of AA given BB),
  4. P(BA)P(B \mid A) (the conditional probability of BB given AA).

Solution Steps:

(a) P(A)P(A)

  • The number of favorable outcomes for AA is A=4|A| = 4 (elements {0,2,5,6}\{0, 2, 5, 6\}).
  • The total number of outcomes in SS is S=10|S| = 10. P(A)=AS=410=0.4P(A) = \frac{|A|}{|S|} = \frac{4}{10} = 0.4

(b) P(AB)P(A \cap B)

  • The intersection AB={6}A \cap B = \{6\} (elements common to AA and BB).
  • The number of favorable outcomes is AB=1|A \cap B| = 1. P(AB)=ABS=110=0.1P(A \cap B) = \frac{|A \cap B|}{|S|} = \frac{1}{10} = 0.1

(c) P(AB)P(A \mid B)

  • Conditional probability formula: P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}
  • From (b), P(AB)=0.1P(A \cap B) = 0.1.
  • The probability P(B)P(B) is calculated as:
    • B=2|B| = 2 (elements {3,6}\{3, 6\}), P(B)=BS=210=0.2P(B) = \frac{|B|}{|S|} = \frac{2}{10} = 0.2
  • Substituting: P(AB)=0.10.2=0.5P(A \mid B) = \frac{0.1}{0.2} = 0.5

(d) P(BA)P(B \mid A)

  • Conditional probability formula: P(BA)=P(AB)P(A)P(B \mid A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}
  • From (b), P(AB)=0.1P(A \cap B) = 0.1.
  • From (a), P(A)=0.4P(A) = 0.4.
  • Substituting: P(BA)=0.10.4=0.25P(B \mid A) = \frac{0.1}{0.4} = 0.25

Final Answers:

  • P(A)=0.4P(A) = 0.4
  • P(AB)=0.1P(A \cap B) = 0.1
  • P(AB)=0.5P(A \mid B) = 0.5
  • P(BA)=0.25P(B \mid A) = 0.25

Let me know if you need further details or explanations!


Related Questions:

  1. How is the formula for conditional probability derived?
  2. Can the probabilities P(AB)P(A \mid B) and P(BA)P(B \mid A) ever be equal? Why or why not?
  3. How does the assumption of equally likely outcomes affect these calculations?
  4. What would P(AB)P(A \cup B) (union of AA and BB) be for this problem?
  5. How would the probabilities change if SS contained more elements (e.g., S={0,1,,19}S = \{0, 1, \dots, 19\})?

Tip: Always check if ABA \cap B is empty to ensure the probabilities are meaningful when solving problems involving intersections.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Sample Space
Set Theory

Formulas

P(A) = |A| / |S|
P(A ∩ B) = |A ∩ B| / |S|
P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)
P(B | A) = P(A ∩ B) / P(A)

Theorems

Basic Probability Rules
Conditional Probability Formula

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12