Math Problem Statement

A group of 5 boys and 10 girls is lined up in random order — that is, each of the 15! permutations is assumed to be equally likely. a. What is the probability that the person in the 4th position is a boy?

Solution

To solve this problem, let's define the situation more clearly:

  • There are 5 boys and 10 girls, making a total of 15 people.
  • We are interested in finding the probability that the person in the 4th position of the lineup is a boy.

Solution:

  1. Determine the total number of possible lineups:

    Since the lineup is random, each of the 15 people can occupy any of the 15 positions. Therefore, the total number of permutations of these 15 people is:

    15!=15×14××2×115! = 15 \times 14 \times \ldots \times 2 \times 1

  2. Probability of the 4th position being a boy:

    Since each person has an equal probability of being in any position, the probability of any specific position being occupied by a boy is the ratio of the number of boys to the total number of people.

    The 4th position can be filled by any of the 5 boys. So, the probability that a boy occupies this position is:

    Probability=Number of boysTotal number of people=515\text{Probability} = \frac{\text{Number of boys}}{\text{Total number of people}} = \frac{5}{15}

    Simplifying this fraction:

    515=13\frac{5}{15} = \frac{1}{3}

Final Answer:

The probability that the person in the 4th position is a boy is:

13\boxed{\frac{1}{3}}

Would you like further details or have any other questions?

Related Questions:

  1. What is the probability that the first position is occupied by a girl?
  2. What is the probability that the 4th position is occupied by a girl?
  3. If the person in the 4th position is a boy, what is the probability that the next position (5th) is also a boy?
  4. What is the probability that boys occupy all odd-numbered positions?
  5. How would the probability change if there were 6 boys and 9 girls instead?

Tip: Probabilities can often be simplified by looking at ratios, especially when each outcome is equally likely.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Permutations

Formulas

Probability = (Number of favorable outcomes) / (Total possible outcomes)

Theorems

Basic Probability Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12