Math Problem Statement
If bolt thread length is normally distributed, what is the probability that the thread length of a randomly selected bolt is
a. Within 1.5 SDs of its mean value?
b. Farther than 2.5 SDs from its mean value?
c. Between 1 and 2 SDs from its mean value?
Solution
We can solve each part of the problem using the properties of the standard normal distribution (a normal distribution with a mean of 0 and standard deviation of 1).
a. Probability that the thread length is within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean:
The probability that a value is within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean corresponds to the area under the standard normal curve between and . Using the standard normal table or a calculator, we find:
First, find the cumulative probability for from a standard normal distribution:
Since the normal distribution is symmetric around the mean:
Thus, the probability of being within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean is:
So, the probability is 0.8664, or 86.64%.
b. Probability that the thread length is farther than 2.5 standard deviations from the mean:
This is the probability that the value lies outside the range of to . The formula would be:
Find the cumulative probability for :
Thus, the probability of being within 2.5 standard deviations of the mean is:
Therefore, the probability of being farther than 2.5 standard deviations from the mean is:
So, the probability is 0.0062, or 0.62%.
c. Probability that the thread length is between 1 and 2 standard deviations from the mean:
This is the probability that the value lies between and standard deviations. The formula is:
Find the cumulative probabilities for and :
Thus, the probability of being between 1 and 2 standard deviations is:
So, the probability is 0.1359, or 13.59%.
Summary:
- a. Probability within 1.5 SDs: 0.8664 (86.64%)
- b. Probability farther than 2.5 SDs: 0.0062 (0.62%)
- c. Probability between 1 and 2 SDs: 0.1359 (13.59%)
Would you like more details on how I calculated these probabilities?
Here are 5 related questions:
- What is the probability of being within 2 standard deviations of the mean?
- How would the probabilities change if the standard deviation increased?
- What is the probability that a bolt thread length is more than 3 SDs from the mean?
- How do you calculate z-scores for normally distributed data?
- How does the cumulative distribution function (CDF) relate to these calculations?
Tip: In a standard normal distribution, approximately 68% of data falls within 1 SD, 95% within 2 SDs, and 99.7% within 3 SDs of the mean (the empirical rule).
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Normal Distribution
Z-scores
Formulas
P(-z ≤ Z ≤ z)
Cumulative probability for a standard normal distribution
P(Z > z) = 1 - P(Z ≤ z)
Theorems
Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7 Rule)
Standard Normal Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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