Math Problem Statement

A company produces steel rods. The lengths of the steel rods are normally distributed with a mean of 195-cm and a standard deviation of 0.6-cm. For shipment, 25 steel rods are bundled together.

Find the probability that the average length of a randomly selected bundle of steel rods is between 194.7-cm and 194.9-cm. P(194.7-cm < M < 194.9-cm) =

Enter your answer as a number accurate to 4 decimal places. Answers obtained using exact z-scores or z-scores rounded to 3 decimal places are accepted.

Solution

The problem involves calculating the probability that the average length MM of a randomly selected bundle of 25 steel rods is between 194.7 cm and 194.9 cm. The lengths of the steel rods are normally distributed with a mean μ=195\mu = 195 cm and a standard deviation σ=0.6\sigma = 0.6 cm.

Since we're dealing with the average length of 25 rods, we use the Central Limit Theorem. This theorem tells us that the distribution of the sample mean MM will be approximately normal with:

  • Mean μM=μ=195\mu_M = \mu = 195 cm (the same as the population mean).
  • Standard deviation σM=σn=0.625=0.65=0.12\sigma_M = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{0.6}{\sqrt{25}} = \frac{0.6}{5} = 0.12 cm.

We now need to calculate the probability P(194.7<M<194.9)P(194.7 < M < 194.9).

Step 1: Convert the raw scores to z-scores.

The z-score for a value MM is given by: z=MμMσMz = \frac{M - \mu_M}{\sigma_M}

  • For M=194.7M = 194.7: z1=194.71950.12=0.30.12=2.5z_1 = \frac{194.7 - 195}{0.12} = \frac{-0.3}{0.12} = -2.5
  • For M=194.9M = 194.9: z2=194.91950.12=0.10.12=0.8333z_2 = \frac{194.9 - 195}{0.12} = \frac{-0.1}{0.12} = -0.8333

Step 2: Use the standard normal distribution to find the probabilities associated with these z-scores.

  • The probability corresponding to z1=2.5z_1 = -2.5 (from standard normal tables or a calculator) is approximately P(z1)=0.0062P(z_1) = 0.0062.
  • The probability corresponding to z2=0.8333z_2 = -0.8333 is approximately P(z2)=0.2023P(z_2) = 0.2023.

Step 3: Calculate the probability between the two z-scores.

The probability that MM is between 194.7 and 194.9 is the difference between the two probabilities: P(194.7<M<194.9)=P(z2)P(z1)=0.20230.0062=0.1961P(194.7 < M < 194.9) = P(z_2) - P(z_1) = 0.2023 - 0.0062 = 0.1961

Thus, the probability is approximately 0.1961\boxed{0.1961}.

Would you like further clarification or details?

Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How do you interpret z-scores in the context of normal distributions?
  2. What is the Central Limit Theorem and why is it important in statistics?
  3. How would the result change if the sample size increased to 50 rods?
  4. How can we approximate probabilities using z-scores in a non-normal distribution?
  5. How does the standard deviation of a sample mean differ from the population standard deviation?

Tip: Always double-check your z-score calculations, especially when rounding decimals, to ensure the final probability is as accurate as possible.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Normal Distribution
Central Limit Theorem
Z-scores

Formulas

z = (M - μ_M) / σ_M
σ_M = σ / √n
P(a < M < b) = P(z_2) - P(z_1)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College-level or Advanced High School Statistics