Math Problem Statement
30% of students scored distinction in a test, if 10 students who took the test were chosen at random, find the probability that at least 2 of them get distinction.
Solution
The problem can be solved using the binomial probability distribution, as we are dealing with a fixed number of trials (10 students), two possible outcomes (distinction or no distinction), and a constant probability of success (30% or 0.3).
Step 1: Identify the parameters
- (number of students selected)
- (probability of a student scoring a distinction)
- (probability of a student not scoring a distinction)
- We are asked to find the probability that at least 2 students get distinction, i.e., .
Step 2: Set up the binomial probability formula
The general binomial probability formula is:
Where:
- is the binomial coefficient, or "n choose k",
- is the probability of successes,
- is the probability of failures.
Step 3: Find
To find the probability that at least 2 students get a distinction, we can use the complement rule:
Step 4: Calculate and
-
For (no students score distinction):
-
For (one student scores distinction):
Step 5: Calculate
Now, using the complement rule: [ P(X \geq 2) = 1 - [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)] = 1 - [0.0282 + 0.121] = 1 - 0.1492 = 0.8508 ]
Thus, the probability that at least 2 of the 10 students get a distinction is approximately 0.8508 or 85.08%.
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Related Questions:
- How would the probability change if only 5 students were chosen?
- What is the probability that exactly 3 students scored distinction?
- Can the binomial distribution be approximated using the normal distribution for large ?
- How would this scenario change if the probability of distinction was 50%?
- What is the expected number of students scoring distinction out of 10?
Tip: When dealing with "at least" or "at most" probabilities, always consider using the complement rule to simplify calculations.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Complement Rule
Formulas
Binomial probability formula: P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * q^(n-k)
Complement rule: P(X ≥ 2) = 1 - [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)]
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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