Math Problem Statement
Each sweat shop worker at a computer factory can put together 4.5 computers per hour on average with a standard deviation of 0.8 computers. 42 workers are randomly selected to work the next shift at the factory. Round all answers to 4 decimal places where possible and assume a normal distribution.
Find the probability that a 42 person shift will put together between 184.8 and 189 computers per hour.
Solution
To solve this, we’ll use the Central Limit Theorem, which states that for a large enough sample size, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normal, even if the population distribution is not. Here’s the solution step-by-step.
Step 1: Identify the Sample Mean and Standard Deviation
Each worker assembles an average of computers per hour with a standard deviation of computers.
Since we have 42 workers, we are looking at the distribution of the sample mean .
Step 2: Calculate the Standard Error of the Mean (SEM)
The SEM, which is the standard deviation of the sample mean, is given by: where:
So:
Step 3: Convert the Range to Z-Scores
Now, we want to find the probability that the mean production per hour for a 42-person shift falls between 184.8 and 189 computers.
Step 3a: Calculate the Mean Total Production for 42 Workers
The expected total production for 42 workers per hour is:
Thus, the probability question converts to finding the probability that the total production is between 184.8 and 189.
Step 3b: Convert Total Production to Mean Production
To work with Z-scores, convert the total production range to the corresponding sample means:
- Lower Bound:
- Upper Bound:
So, we want to find the probability that the sample mean falls between 4.4 and 4.5.
Step 3c: Calculate Z-Scores
Using the formula for Z-scores:
-
For :
-
For :
Step 4: Find the Probability
Using a standard normal distribution table, find the probability for each Z-score:
- Probability for : approximately 0.2090
- Probability for : 0.5000
The probability that the mean production per hour is between 4.4 and 4.5 is:
Final Answer
The probability that a 42-person shift will put together between 184.8 and 189 computers per hour is approximately:
Would you like further details on any part of this solution?
- How does the Central Limit Theorem apply to this problem?
- What is the significance of the standard error in sampling distributions?
- Why do we convert total production to mean production for this calculation?
- How would the probability change with a different number of workers?
- How can we calculate probabilities without assuming a normal distribution?
Tip: Always verify if the sample size is large enough to apply the Central Limit Theorem, especially when working with averages and sums.
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Normal Distribution
Sampling Distribution
Central Limit Theorem
Formulas
Standard Error of the Mean: SEM = σ / √n
Z-score: Z = (X̄ - μ) / SEM
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
College-Level Statistics
Related Recommendation
Probability Calculation for Factory Production: Normal Distribution Example
Central Limit Theorem Probability: Sample Mean Between 111 and 119
Probability of Average Horsepower Between 90 hp and 110 hp Using Z-Scores
Estimate Probability of Sample Mean Between 111 and 119 Using Central Limit Theorem
Probability of Average Census Form Completion Time Over 45 Minutes