Math Problem Statement

In a family with 3 children, excluding multiple births, what is the probability of having 2 boys and 1 girl, in that order? Assume that a boy is as likely as a girl at each birth. How will your answer change if any order is allowed?

Solution

Case 1: Probability of having 2 boys and 1 girl, in that order

In this case, the specific order is required: two boys followed by one girl.

Since each child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl (with probability 12\frac{1}{2} for each), the probability of having two boys and one girl in that exact order (boy, boy, girl) is:

P(Boy, Boy, Girl)=12×12×12=18P(\text{Boy, Boy, Girl}) = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{8}

So, the probability of having two boys and one girl in that specific order is 18\frac{1}{8}.

Case 2: Probability of having 2 boys and 1 girl, in any order

Now, if any order is allowed (not just boy, boy, girl), we need to count all the possible ways of having 2 boys and 1 girl.

The total number of possible orders of 3 children (2 boys and 1 girl) can be found using combinations. The number of ways to arrange two boys (B) and one girl (G) is given by the number of ways to choose 2 positions out of 3 for the boys, which is:

Number of ways=(32)=3!2!(32)!=3\text{Number of ways} = \binom{3}{2} = \frac{3!}{2!(3-2)!} = 3

The three possible orders are:

  • Boy, Boy, Girl (BBG)
  • Boy, Girl, Boy (BGB)
  • Girl, Boy, Boy (GBB)

Each of these has a probability of 18\frac{1}{8} (since each child has a 12\frac{1}{2} chance of being a boy or girl). Therefore, the total probability of having 2 boys and 1 girl in any order is:

P(2 boys, 1 girl in any order)=3×18=38P(\text{2 boys, 1 girl in any order}) = 3 \times \frac{1}{8} = \frac{3}{8}

Summary:

  • In the specific order (boy, boy, girl): Probability is 18\frac{1}{8}.
  • In any order (2 boys, 1 girl): Probability is 38\frac{3}{8}.

Do you want any more details or clarifications?

Related Questions:

  1. What is the probability of having 3 boys in any order?
  2. How would the probability change if the family had 4 children?
  3. What is the probability of having exactly 2 girls and 1 boy in any order?
  4. How do combinations and permutations differ in calculating probabilities?
  5. What is the probability of having at least one girl in a family of 3 children?

Tip:

When dealing with probabilities involving specific orders, multiplying the probabilities for each event is essential. For any order, combinations are used to count all the possibilities.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Combinations
Permutations

Formulas

P(Boy, Boy, Girl) = (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) = 1/8
Number of ways to arrange 2 boys and 1 girl: C(3, 2) = 3
P(2 boys, 1 girl in any order) = 3 * (1/8) = 3/8

Theorems

Basic Probability Rule
Combination Formula: C(n, k) = n! / (k!(n - k)!)

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 6-8