Math Problem Statement

A certain temperature was measured under the same operating conditions and a sample of 8 data points was acquired. The mean and standard deviation were: Mean= 49.9, Standard Deviation= 0.94 If one additional measurement were made, estimate the interval in which the value of this measurement would fall (at 95% probability). The interval is represented in this form: interval = mean +/ - Value In the answer box, provide the Value only and use two decimal places.

Solution

To determine the interval in which the additional measurement is expected to fall with 95% probability, we use the prediction interval formula:

Interval=xˉ±tα/2,n1s1+1n\text{Interval} = \bar{x} \pm t_{\alpha/2, n-1} \cdot s \cdot \sqrt{1 + \frac{1}{n}}

Where:

  • xˉ=49.9\bar{x} = 49.9 (sample mean)
  • s=0.94s = 0.94 (sample standard deviation)
  • n=8n = 8 (sample size)
  • tα/2,n1t_{\alpha/2, n-1} is the critical t-value for a 95% confidence level with 7 degrees of freedom (n-1 = 7).

Step 1: Find tα/2,7t_{\alpha/2,7}

Using a t-table or calculator, for 95% confidence and 7 degrees of freedom: t0.025,72.447t_{0.025, 7} \approx 2.447

Step 2: Compute the Value

Value=2.447×0.94×1+18\text{Value} = 2.447 \times 0.94 \times \sqrt{1 + \frac{1}{8}}

=2.447×0.94×1.125= 2.447 \times 0.94 \times \sqrt{1.125}

=2.447×0.94×1.061= 2.447 \times 0.94 \times 1.061

=2.447×0.9973= 2.447 \times 0.9973

2.44\approx 2.44

Final Answer:

2.44\mathbf{2.44}

Would you like a breakdown of any step?

Here are some related questions:

  1. How does a confidence interval differ from a prediction interval?
  2. Why do we use the t-distribution instead of the normal distribution?
  3. What happens to the interval if the sample size increases?
  4. How does the standard deviation affect the prediction interval?
  5. What is the effect of changing the confidence level from 95% to 99%?

Tip: The prediction interval is always wider than a confidence interval because it accounts for both sample variability and individual measurement variability.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Interval
Prediction Interval
t-Distribution

Formulas

Interval = mean ± t_α/2,n-1 * s * sqrt(1 + 1/n)

Theorems

Prediction Interval
t-Distribution for small sample sizes

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12