Math Problem Statement

Jeremy is going to roll a fair [6]-sided die [180] times. What is the best prediction for the number of times that Jeremy will roll a number greater than [4]?

Solution

To determine the best prediction for the number of times Jeremy will roll a number greater than 4, we can use probability.

Step 1: Identify the favorable outcomes

A fair 6-sided die has numbers 1,2,3,4,5,61, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Numbers greater than 4 are 55 and 66. So, there are 22 favorable outcomes.

Step 2: Calculate the probability

The probability of rolling a number greater than 44 is:

P(greater than 4)=favorable outcomestotal outcomes=26=13.P(\text{greater than } 4) = \frac{\text{favorable outcomes}}{\text{total outcomes}} = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}.

Step 3: Predict the number of successes

Jeremy rolls the die 180180 times. The expected number of times a number greater than 44 appears is the product of the total rolls and the probability:

Expected number=180×13=60.\text{Expected number} = 180 \times \frac{1}{3} = 60.

Final Answer:

The best prediction is that Jeremy will roll a number greater than 44 60 times.


Would you like further clarification or a detailed breakdown? Here are some related questions:

  1. What is the probability of rolling exactly 6060 numbers greater than 44 in 180180 rolls?
  2. How does the expected value change if the die were biased?
  3. What is the variance of the number of rolls where the outcome is greater than 44?
  4. How would the prediction change if Jeremy rolls a 1212-sided die instead?
  5. What is the probability of rolling a number not greater than 44 in one roll?

Tip: Expected values are the average outcome over a large number of trials, not guarantees of exact outcomes!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Expected Value

Formulas

P(event) = favorable outcomes / total outcomes
Expected value = total trials × probability

Theorems

Law of Large Numbers

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 6-8