Math Problem Statement

Consider a Poisson probability distribution with λ = 4.7. Determine the following probabilities: a) exactly 5 occurrences, b) more than 6 occurrences, c) 3 or fewer occurrences.

Solution

Let's break down and solve the problem based on the information provided in the image.

You are given a Poisson distribution with λ=4.7\lambda = 4.7, and you need to calculate the following probabilities:

Part (a): Probability of exactly 5 occurrences

For a Poisson distribution, the probability of exactly kk occurrences is given by:

P(X=k)=λkeλk!P(X = k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!}

For k=5k = 5 and λ=4.7\lambda = 4.7, we can calculate this value.

Part (b): Probability of more than 6 occurrences

This is the cumulative probability for X>6X > 6, which can be found by subtracting the cumulative probability for X6X \leq 6 from 1:

P(X>6)=1P(X6)P(X > 6) = 1 - P(X \leq 6)

Part (c): Probability of 3 or fewer occurrences

This is the cumulative probability for X3X \leq 3, which can be calculated using:

P(X3)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)P(X \leq 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3)

I will now compute these probabilities for you.Here are the calculated probabilities:

  • Part (a): The probability of exactly 5 occurrences is approximately 0.17380.1738.
  • Part (b): The probability of more than 6 occurrences is approximately 0.19540.1954.
  • Part (c): The probability of 3 or fewer occurrences is approximately 0.30970.3097.

Would you like further details or explanations on any of the calculations?

Here are some related questions to explore:

  1. How does changing λ\lambda affect the probabilities in a Poisson distribution?
  2. Can you calculate the probability of exactly 7 occurrences using the same method?
  3. What is the cumulative probability of 5 or fewer occurrences?
  4. How can the Poisson distribution be used to model real-world scenarios?
  5. What is the difference between a Poisson distribution and a binomial distribution?

Tip: The Poisson distribution is often used to model rare events over a fixed interval of time or space.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Poisson distribution
Probability
Cumulative probability

Formulas

P(X = k) = (λ^k * e^(-λ)) / k!
P(X > k) = 1 - P(X ≤ k)
P(X ≤ k) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + ... + P(X = k)

Theorems

Poisson distribution formula

Suitable Grade Level

College (Introductory Probability and Statistics)