Math Problem Statement
Assume that X is a Poisson random variable with μ = 20. Calculate the following probabilities.
Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your final answers to 4 decimal places. a P(X ≤ 11)
b P(X = 14)
c P(X > 18)
d P(19 ≤ X ≤ 27)
Solution
In order to solve this, we'll use the properties of the Poisson distribution. For a Poisson random variable with mean , the probability mass function (PMF) is given by:
where and is the desired value of .
We can also calculate cumulative probabilities using the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the Poisson distribution.
a)
This is the cumulative probability that takes on values from 0 to 11. We need to sum up the individual probabilities:
b)
This is the probability of taking on the value 14:
c)
This is the complement of the cumulative probability up to 18:
We need to sum the probabilities for and subtract from 1.
d)
This is the sum of the probabilities between 19 and 27:
I will now calculate each of these probabilities using Python.Here are the calculated probabilities:
- a)
- b)
- c)
- d)
Would you like further details or have any questions?
Here are 5 related questions to explore:
- How would the probabilities change if were 30 instead of 20?
- What is the expected value and variance of in the Poisson distribution?
- How can the Poisson distribution be approximated using a normal distribution?
- What is for this Poisson distribution with ?
- How would you calculate the cumulative probability for ?
Tip: When is large, the Poisson distribution can be approximated using a normal distribution with mean and variance .
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Poisson Distribution
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
Probability Mass Function (PMF)
Formulas
P(X = k) = (μ^k * e^(-μ)) / k!
P(X ≤ k) = Σ from k=0 to n of (μ^k * e^(-μ)) / k!
P(X > k) = 1 - P(X ≤ k)
Theorems
Poisson Theorem
Complement Rule
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate or Advanced High School (Grades 11-12)
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