Math Problem Statement

Find the probabilities of monthly mortgage payments, where the average mortgage payment is $982, the standard deviation is $180, and the distribution is normally distributed. The questions ask for the probability of a payment being (a) more than $1410 and (b) between $690 and $1240.

Solution

The problem refers to monthly mortgage payments with the following parameters:

  • Mean μ=982\mu = 982 dollars
  • Standard deviation σ=180\sigma = 180 dollars
  • The distribution is normally distributed, and the question asks to find probabilities based on this information.

Part (a) More than $1410

The probability given for X>1410X > 1410 is already stated as: P(X>1410)=0.0090P(X > 1410) = 0.0090

Part (b) Between $690 and $1240

We need to find: P(690<X<1240)P(690 < X < 1240)

To solve this:

  1. Standardize the values using the Z-score formula: Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

  2. Calculate Z-scores for $690 and $1240: Z1=690982180=2921801.622Z_1 = \frac{690 - 982}{180} = \frac{-292}{180} \approx -1.622 Z2=1240982180=2581801.433Z_2 = \frac{1240 - 982}{180} = \frac{258}{180} \approx 1.433

  3. Using the Standard Normal Distribution Table (or Z-table), we find the probabilities for the Z-scores:

    • For Z1=1.622Z_1 = -1.622, the probability is approximately P(Z1)0.0525P(Z_1) \approx 0.0525.
    • For Z2=1.433Z_2 = 1.433, the probability is approximately P(Z2)0.9236P(Z_2) \approx 0.9236.
  4. Finally, subtract the smaller probability from the larger one: P(690<X<1240)=P(Z2)P(Z1)=0.92360.0525=0.8711P(690 < X < 1240) = P(Z_2) - P(Z_1) = 0.9236 - 0.0525 = 0.8711

Thus, the probability is approximately 0.8711.


Would you like a detailed explanation on any of these steps?

Related Questions:

  1. How do you calculate Z-scores for values outside the mean?
  2. How does the normal distribution help in mortgage payment predictions?
  3. What are the uses of the Standard Normal Distribution Table in probability?
  4. How is probability linked to real-world financial decisions like mortgages?
  5. What is the significance of calculating probabilities between two payment values?

Tip:

Always round intermediate Z-scores and final probability answers to at least four decimal places to maintain accuracy.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Normal Distribution
Z-Score

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X1 < X < X2) = P(Z2) - P(Z1)

Theorems

Standard Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 (Statistics) or Introductory College Level