Math Problem Statement

Suppose that the lifetimes of light bulbs are approximately normally​ distributed, with a mean of

5656

hours and a standard deviation of

3.23.2

hours. With this​ information, answer the following questions.

​(a) What proportion of light bulbs will last more than

6262

​hours?

​(b) What proportion of light bulbs will last

5353

hours or​ less?

​(c) What proportion of light bulbs will last between

5858

and

6161

​hours?

​(d) What is the probability that a randomly selected light bulb lasts less than

4646

​hours?

Solution

The problem involves using the properties of the normal distribution. We're given that the lifetimes of light bulbs are normally distributed with a mean (μ\mu) of 56 hours and a standard deviation (σ\sigma) of 3.2 hours. The standard normal distribution (denoted by ZZ) is then used to standardize the values.

The formula for standardizing a variable xx is:

Z=xμσZ = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}

Let's calculate the required proportions step by step:

(a) What proportion of light bulbs will last more than 62 hours?

  1. Standardize x=62x = 62:

Z=62563.2=63.2=1.875Z = \frac{62 - 56}{3.2} = \frac{6}{3.2} = 1.875

  1. Find the corresponding ZZ-value from a standard normal distribution table or use a calculator:

    • The cumulative probability for Z=1.875Z = 1.875 is approximately 0.9696.
  2. The proportion of light bulbs that last more than 62 hours is:

P(X>62)=1P(Z1.875)=10.9696=0.0304P(X > 62) = 1 - P(Z \leq 1.875) = 1 - 0.9696 = 0.0304

Thus, about 3.04% of light bulbs will last more than 62 hours.

(b) What proportion of light bulbs will last 53 hours or less?

  1. Standardize x=53x = 53:

Z=53563.2=33.2=0.9375Z = \frac{53 - 56}{3.2} = \frac{-3}{3.2} = -0.9375

  1. From the standard normal distribution table, the cumulative probability for Z=0.9375Z = -0.9375 is approximately 0.1748.

So, about 17.48% of light bulbs will last 53 hours or less.

(c) What proportion of light bulbs will last between 58 and 61 hours?

  1. Standardize x=58x = 58 and x=61x = 61:

Z58=58563.2=23.2=0.625Z_{58} = \frac{58 - 56}{3.2} = \frac{2}{3.2} = 0.625 Z61=61563.2=53.2=1.5625Z_{61} = \frac{61 - 56}{3.2} = \frac{5}{3.2} = 1.5625

  1. Find the cumulative probabilities:

    • For Z=0.625Z = 0.625, the cumulative probability is approximately 0.734.
    • For Z=1.5625Z = 1.5625, the cumulative probability is approximately 0.941.
  2. The proportion of light bulbs lasting between 58 and 61 hours is:

P(58<X<61)=P(Z1.5625)P(Z0.625)=0.9410.734=0.207P(58 < X < 61) = P(Z \leq 1.5625) - P(Z \leq 0.625) = 0.941 - 0.734 = 0.207

Thus, about 20.7% of light bulbs will last between 58 and 61 hours.

(d) What is the probability that a randomly selected light bulb lasts less than 46 hours?

  1. Standardize x=46x = 46:

Z=46563.2=103.2=3.125Z = \frac{46 - 56}{3.2} = \frac{-10}{3.2} = -3.125

  1. The cumulative probability for Z=3.125Z = -3.125 is very small, approximately 0.0009.

Thus, the probability that a randomly selected light bulb lasts less than 46 hours is about 0.09%.


Would you like more details on any part of this? Here are some follow-up questions to consider:

  1. How would the proportion change if the mean was higher than 56 hours?
  2. What proportion of light bulbs will last between 50 and 60 hours?
  3. How would we calculate the proportion if the standard deviation was doubled?
  4. What does it mean if a light bulb lasts more than 70 hours in this distribution?
  5. How would the distribution be affected if the light bulbs were manufactured with more precision?

Tip: Normal distribution tables and software tools like Excel or a calculator can help quickly find probabilities for different ZZ-values.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Statistics
Normal Distribution

Formulas

Z = (x - μ) / σ

Theorems

Empirical Rule for Normal Distribution
Standard Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12