Math Problem Statement

What is the probability that a buyer paid more than $1153? What is the probability that a buyer paid between $787 and $1012? What price would the buyer pay to get 5% the most expensive HD televisions?

Solution

Let's solve the questions based on the information provided in the image. The normal distribution has:

  • Mean (μ\mu) = $1000
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = $90

We'll use the z-score formula to calculate each probability: z=Xμσz = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} where:

  • XX is the value we are analyzing.
  • μ\mu is the mean.
  • σ\sigma is the standard deviation.

Part A: Probability that a buyer paid more than $1153

Calculate the z-score for X=1153X = 1153: z=1153100090=153901.7z = \frac{1153 - 1000}{90} = \frac{153}{90} \approx 1.7 Using the z-table or standard normal distribution table, the area to the left of z=1.7z = 1.7 is approximately 0.9554. The probability of paying more than $1153 is: P(X>1153)=1P(Z<1.7)=10.9554=0.0446P(X > 1153) = 1 - P(Z < 1.7) = 1 - 0.9554 = 0.0446

Part B: Probability that a buyer paid between $787 and $1012

Calculate the z-scores for both values:

  1. For X=787X = 787: z=787100090=213902.3667z = \frac{787 - 1000}{90} = \frac{-213}{90} \approx -2.3667 The area to the left of z=2.37z = -2.37 is approximately 0.0085.

  2. For X=1012X = 1012: z=1012100090=12900.1333z = \frac{1012 - 1000}{90} = \frac{12}{90} \approx 0.1333 The area to the left of z=0.13z = 0.13 is approximately 0.5517.

The probability of paying between $787 and $1012 is: P(787<X<1012)=P(Z<0.13)P(Z<2.37)=0.55170.0085=0.5432P(787 < X < 1012) = P(Z < 0.13) - P(Z < -2.37) = 0.5517 - 0.0085 = 0.5432

Part C: What price would the buyer pay to get 5% most expensive HD televisions?

To find the price corresponding to the top 5% of prices, we need the z-score that leaves 5% in the upper tail of the distribution. The z-score for the 95th percentile (top 5%) is approximately: z1.645z \approx 1.645 We use the z-score formula to find the price XX: 1.645=X1000901.645 = \frac{X - 1000}{90} X1000=1.645×90X - 1000 = 1.645 \times 90 X=1000+148.05=1148.05X = 1000 + 148.05 = 1148.05 So, the buyer would pay about $1148.05 to be in the top 5% of prices.

Explanation for Part A

The z-score represents how many standard deviations a value is away from the mean. For part A, the z-score was calculated as 1.7, meaning $1153 is 1.7 standard deviations above the mean. Using this z-score, we found the corresponding probability of paying more than $1153 to be 0.0446, or about 4.46%.

Do you have any questions or would you like further details?

5 Related Questions

  1. How do you interpret a z-score in a real-life scenario?
  2. What is the significance of the 95th percentile in normal distributions?
  3. How do you calculate probabilities for a normal distribution without a z-table?
  4. How do standard deviation and mean affect the shape of the normal distribution?
  5. What methods can be used to approximate probabilities when z-scores are not available?

Tip

When dealing with normal distributions, always sketch the curve and mark the z-scores to visualize areas under the curve. This helps in understanding probabilities intuitively.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Normal Distribution
Z-scores

Formulas

Z-score formula: z = (X - μ) / σ
Probability from Z-scores: P(X > value) = 1 - P(Z < z-score)

Theorems

Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7 Rule)

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or introductory college statistics