Math Problem Statement
In the United States, 21% of adults ages 25 and older have never been married, more than double the figure recorded for 1960. Select a random sample of 50 U.S. adults ages 25 and older and let X = the number of individuals in the sample who have never married.
(a) Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the appropriate normal distribution.
Mean =
10.5
Correct Answer
individuals
(Do not round.)
Standard Deviation =
2.881
Correct Answer
individuals
(Round to 3 decimal places.)
(b) Use this normal distribution to calculate the probability that at most 5 of the individuals in the sample have never been married.
Probability =
0.0413
Incorrect Answer
(Round to 4 decimal places. Leave your answer in decimal form.)
Solution
Let's break down the problem step by step.
(a) Calculating the mean and standard deviation
You are dealing with a binomial distribution in this case, since you are selecting a sample of 50 adults and checking whether each individual has never been married. We can approximate this binomial distribution as a normal distribution using the central limit theorem because the sample size is large.
Given:
- Proportion of adults who have never been married:
- Sample size:
The mean and standard deviation for a binomial distribution are given by:
Step 1: Calculate the mean.
Step 2: Calculate the standard deviation.
Thus:
- Mean = 10.5
- Standard deviation ≈ 2.881
(b) Calculating the probability
We want to calculate the probability that at most 5 individuals in the sample have never been married. Since we are approximating a binomial distribution with a normal distribution, we can use the following formula for the probability:
Where:
- is the standard normal random variable (Z-score).
Step 1: Calculate the Z-score.
Step 2: Look up the Z-score in the standard normal distribution table or use a calculator to find the probability.
For , the corresponding probability is approximately 0.0281 (this is the area to the left of ).
Thus, the probability that at most 5 individuals in the sample have never been married is approximately 0.0281 (rounded to 4 decimal places).
Final Answers:
- (a) Mean = 10.5 individuals
- (a) Standard Deviation ≈ 2.881 individuals
- (b) Probability ≈ 0.0281
Would you like to go over any of the steps in more detail, or do you have any other questions?
Here are some related questions to explore further:
- How does the Central Limit Theorem apply to binomial distributions?
- How would the probability change if the sample size was larger or smaller?
- What is the relationship between the binomial distribution and the normal distribution?
- How do we calculate probabilities for continuous distributions like the normal distribution?
- Can we calculate the probability for "at most" using other methods besides the Z-score?
Tip: When approximating a binomial distribution with a normal distribution, remember to use a continuity correction (adjusting the value by 0.5) when you're working with discrete values like 5 or 6, but it's often ignored for large sample sizes.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Binomial Distribution
Normal Distribution
Central Limit Theorem
Probability Theory
Formulas
Mean = n * p
Standard Deviation = sqrt(n * p * (1 - p))
Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X ≤ x) ≈ P(Z ≤ (x - μ) / σ)
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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