Math Problem Statement
In the following problem, check that it is appropriate to use the normal approximation to the binomial. Then use the normal distribution to estimate the requested probabilities.
Ocean fishing for billfish is very popular in a certain region of Mexico. In this region about 48% of strikes (while trolling) resulted in a catch. Suppose that on a given day a fleet of fishing boats got a total of 21 strikes. Find the following probabilities. (Round your answers to four decimal places.)
12 or fewer fish were caught
Solution
To determine whether it's appropriate to use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, we need to check the following two conditions:
- (where is the number of trials and is the probability of success)
- (where is the probability of failure)
Given:
- (number of trials, or the total number of strikes)
- (probability of success, or the probability of catching a fish)
Now, let's check the conditions:
Both conditions are satisfied, so it's appropriate to use the normal approximation.
Step 1: Define the problem in terms of the binomial distribution
- The binomial distribution has a mean
- The standard deviation
Step 2: Apply the continuity correction
To use the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution, we need to apply a continuity correction when finding the probability of 12 or fewer fish. We approximate by calculating .
Step 3: Standardize the variable
We now convert to a z-score:
Step 4: Use the standard normal distribution
Using a standard normal distribution table or calculator, we find the probability corresponding to .
Final Answer:
The probability that 12 or fewer fish were caught is approximately .
Would you like more details or clarifications?
Here are five related questions to explore this concept further:
- How does the continuity correction affect the approximation in a binomial distribution?
- What would happen if the sample size were smaller in this problem?
- How is the normal distribution derived from the binomial distribution?
- What are other common applications of the normal approximation to the binomial distribution?
- How would the probability change if the success rate (probability of catching a fish) were higher?
Tip: Always check both conditions and before using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation
Probability
Formulas
np (mean of binomial distribution)
sqrt(np(1-p)) (standard deviation of binomial distribution)
z = (X - μ) / σ (z-score formula)
Continuity Correction
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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