Math Problem Statement
Solution
The table shows the number of polio cases (in thousands) for various years, and you are tasked with determining a mathematical model that fits the data and answering several questions based on that model. Let's break this down:
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Let represent the number of polio cases (in thousands), where represents the years since 1980:
- The years in the table are 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000, 2005, and 2007, corresponding to , respectively.
- The number of polio cases (in thousands) are: 350, 138, 32, 6, 3.2, and 1.3.
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Determine whether a linear or exponential model fits the data better:
- Since the number of polio cases is decreasing over time and the decrease appears to be rapid at first and then slows down, an exponential decay model is likely more suitable than a linear model.
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Find the equation of :
- The general form of an exponential model is , where is the initial value and is the rate of decay.
- By fitting the data, we can find the values of and . Based on the trend of the data, I'll help calculate this equation.
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Predict the number of polio cases in 2015:
- Use the model to predict the number of polio cases in 2015, which corresponds to (since 2015 is 35 years after 1980).
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Predict the year when there will be 1 case of polio:
- Solve the equation to find the value of , and then convert it to the corresponding year.
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Find the half-life of the number of polio cases:
- The half-life is the time it takes for the number of polio cases to reduce to half its initial value. This can be calculated from the exponential decay model.
Let me work out the details of this model and calculations.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Exponential Decay
Modeling
Scatter Plot
Formulas
Exponential decay model: f(t) = A * e^(-bt)
Half-life formula in exponential decay
Theorems
Exponential Growth and Decay Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12
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