Math Problem Statement
One common distribution that appears in branching process theory is a DRV with pmf: fX (x; μ) = e−μx(μx)x−1 x! where x ∈ {1, 2, . . .} and μ ∈ (0, 1) (a) Find the MLE for μ given iid X1, . . . , Xn. Then, find the MLE for the particular data x1 = 2, x2 = 1, x3 = 6. (b) Using Desmos, draw a graph of the likelihood function (not log-likelihood) for the data x1 = 2, x2 = 1, x3 = 6. It should be maximal at the μ value you found in part a. Include a sketch of the graph from Desmos (or a screenshot if you’re tech-fancy). (Note: In Desmos, if you click on the wrench icon in the upper-right, you can change the range of values on the x and y axes.)
Solution
Let's address the problem systematically:
(a) Find the MLE for
The given pmf is:
For a set of iid observations , the likelihood function is:
Substituting :
Simplifying:
Taking the log-likelihood:
Focus on terms involving : \ell(\mu) = -\mu \sum_{i=1}^n X_i + \sum_{i=1}^n (X_i - 1) \log \mu + \text{(terms independent of \mu)}.
Differentiating with respect to and setting the derivative to zero:
Simplify:
Rearrange:
For :
Thus:
(b) Graph the Likelihood Function
The likelihood function is:
Simplify constants: where is independent of .
Explicitly:
Plot on Desmos
- Define .
- Choose a range for (e.g., ).
- Observe the maximum near .
Would you like help generating or uploading the graph? I can also generate the graph for you if needed.
Follow-Up Questions:
- Why is MLE an important method for parameter estimation in statistics?
- What are the practical interpretations of in this context?
- How does the likelihood function differ from the log-likelihood function?
- What are the benefits of using Desmos for visualization in statistical analysis?
- What conditions ensure the uniqueness of the MLE in this type of problem?
Tip: Always validate the MLE by checking the second derivative to confirm it is a maximum, not a minimum or inflection point.
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability Theory
Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE)
Branching Processes
Formulas
Likelihood function: L(μ; X1, ..., Xn) = Π fX(Xi; μ)
Log-likelihood: ℓ(μ) = -μ Σ Xi + Σ (Xi - 1) log(μ) + constant
MLE for μ: μ = (Σ (Xi - 1)) / (Σ Xi)
Theorems
Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Level (Statistics/Probability)
Related Recommendation
Find Maximum Likelihood Estimator for θ in PDF f(x; θ) = θx^(θ-1)
MLE for Poisson Distribution: Estimating P(X = 0) from Observations
Finding the MLE of λ in a Poisson Distribution
Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for P(X > 1) in Exponential Distribution
Using Regular Exponential Family Properties to Solve Normal Distribution MLE