Math Problem Statement

The scheduled arrival time for a daily flight from Boston to New York is 9:35 am. Historical data show that the arrival time follows the continuous uniform distribution with an early arrival time of 9:18 am and a late arrival time of 9:41 am.

a. After converting the time data to a minute scale, calculate the mean and the standard deviation for the distribution. (Round intermediate calculations to at least 4 decimal places and final answer to 2 decimal places.)

Solution

The problem describes a flight's arrival time following a continuous uniform distribution. To calculate the mean and standard deviation for this uniform distribution, we can use the following standard formulas:

  • For a uniform distribution U(a,b)U(a, b), where aa is the minimum value and bb is the maximum value:
    • Mean (μ): μ=a+b2\mu = \frac{a + b}{2}
    • Standard Deviation (σ): σ=ba12\sigma = \frac{b - a}{\sqrt{12}}

Step 1: Convert time to minutes.

  • The early arrival time aa is 9:18 am.
  • The late arrival time bb is 9:41 am.

Convert these times to the number of minutes after 9:00 am:

  • 9:18 am = 18 minutes after 9:00 am, so a=18a = 18.
  • 9:41 am = 41 minutes after 9:00 am, so b=41b = 41.

Step 2: Apply the formulas.

  1. Mean (μ): μ=18+412=592=29.5minutes\mu = \frac{18 + 41}{2} = \frac{59}{2} = 29.5 \, \text{minutes} So, the mean is 29.5 minutes after 9:00 am, or 9:29.5 am.

  2. Standard Deviation (σ): σ=411812=2312233.46416.64minutes\sigma = \frac{41 - 18}{\sqrt{12}} = \frac{23}{\sqrt{12}} \approx \frac{23}{3.4641} \approx 6.64 \, \text{minutes}

Final Answers:

  • Mean arrival time: 29.529.5 minutes (which is 9:29.5 am)
  • Standard deviation: 6.646.64 minutes.

Would you like further details on the uniform distribution or the interpretation of these results?


Relative questions:

  1. How do you interpret a uniform distribution in real-world scenarios?
  2. Can you explain why the standard deviation formula for a uniform distribution involves 12\sqrt{12}?
  3. What happens if the flight's actual arrival time deviates from the uniform assumption?
  4. How would the mean and standard deviation change if the flight window increased?
  5. What are the implications of a small vs. large standard deviation in this context?

Tip: The uniform distribution is ideal for modeling scenarios where all outcomes in a range are equally likely.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Uniform Distribution
Statistics
Continuous Probability Distributions

Formulas

Mean (μ) = (a + b) / 2
Standard Deviation (σ) = (b - a) / √12

Theorems

Uniform Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College Level / Advanced High School (Grades 11-12)