Math Problem Statement

Consider -2, 5, -6, 9, -5, and -9 are the observed values of a random sample of size 6 that has the probability density function: f_θ(x) = e^{-(x-θ)} if x > θ; 0 otherwise. Then the maximum likelihood estimate of θ is?

Solution

The observed values given are 2,5,6,9,5,-2, 5, -6, 9, -5, and 9-9, and we need to find the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) for θ\theta based on the provided probability density function (pdf):

fθ(x)={e(xθ)if x>θ0otherwisef_{\theta}(x) = \begin{cases} e^{-(x-\theta)} & \text{if } x > \theta \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}

Step 1: Understanding the PDF and MLE Condition

The given pdf is an exponential distribution, which is valid only if x>θx > \theta. This implies that the smallest observed value must be greater than θ\theta for fθ(x)f_{\theta}(x) to be non-zero.

Step 2: Identifying the MLE

The Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of θ\theta is the value of θ\theta that maximizes the likelihood function, which is based on the product of individual pdf values for all observed data points. For this exponential distribution, the MLE condition is:

θ^=min{x1,x2,,xn}\hat{\theta} = \min\{x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_n\}

where {x1,x2,,xn}\{x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_n\} are the observed sample values. This condition arises because choosing a value of θ\theta less than the smallest observation would result in a higher likelihood.

Step 3: Calculating θ^\hat{\theta}

The observed values are: 2,5,6,9,5,-2, 5, -6, 9, -5, and 9-9.

  • The smallest value is 9-9.

Thus, the maximum likelihood estimate for θ\theta is:

θ^=9\hat{\theta} = -9

Final Answer

The maximum likelihood estimate of θ\theta is:

9\boxed{-9}

Do you have any questions or need further details on this solution?

Related Questions

  1. How is the MLE derived for exponential distributions?
  2. What happens to the MLE if an outlier is present in the data?
  3. Can the MLE for θ\theta be biased? Why or why not?
  4. How does the choice of θ\theta affect the likelihood function for this pdf?
  5. What are the properties of the exponential distribution?

Tip

When dealing with MLE problems, always check the domain restrictions of the given probability density function before estimating parameters.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE)
Probability Density Function
Exponential Distribution

Formulas

f_θ(x) = e^{-(x-θ)} if x > θ; 0 otherwise
θ̂ = min{x₁, x₂, ..., xₙ}

Theorems

Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator
Exponential Distribution Characteristics

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level (Statistics/Probability)