Math Problem Statement
As a prize, you have been given the chance to pick a free ticket for one of three
lotteries. Suppose your utility u of money m is given by u (m) = V(m - 10).
According to the principle of maximizing expected utility, you should pick a free ticket for which lottery?
Lottery 1| winnings
Lottery 2 winnings
Lottery 3 winnings
Decision matrix
probability probability = probability =
= 0.5
0.4
0.1
$74
$131
526
$110
$91
$35
$26
$26
$131
Solution
To determine which lottery ticket you should choose according to the principle of maximizing expected utility, we need to calculate the expected utility for each lottery. The utility function provided is .
Here are the winnings and their probabilities for each lottery:
Lottery 1:
- Probability = 0.5, Winnings = $74
- Probability = 0.4, Winnings = $131
- Probability = 0.1, Winnings = $26
Lottery 2:
- Probability = 0.5, Winnings = $110
- Probability = 0.4, Winnings = $91
- Probability = 0.1, Winnings = $26
Lottery 3:
- Probability = 0.5, Winnings = $35
- Probability = 0.4, Winnings = $26
- Probability = 0.1, Winnings = $131
We'll calculate the expected utility for each lottery.
Lottery 1
For each possible winning amount, calculate :
The expected utility for Lottery 1 is:
Lottery 2
The expected utility for Lottery 2 is:
Lottery 3
The expected utility for Lottery 3 is: [ EU_3 = (0.5 \times 5) + (0.4 \times 4) + (0.1 \times
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Expected Utility
Utility Function
Probability
Formulas
Expected Utility calculation
Theorems
-
Suitable Grade Level
Advanced
Related Recommendation
Maximizing Expected Utility: Willingness to Pay for Information in Career Decision Making
Expected Value Calculation for a Game Show Lottery
Analyzing Probabilities and Expected Values in a Game Scenario
Preference Between Gamble A and Gamble B - Kylie's Decision Analysis
Calculating Minimum Selling Price for a Lottery Ticket Using Expected Utility