Math Problem Statement

Suppose the population of bears in a national park grows according to the logistic differential equation dP/dt = 5P - 0.002P^2, where P is the number of bears at time t in years. Solve for the following scenarios: (a) If P(0) = 100, find lim P(t) as t approaches infinity and determine if the solution curve is increasing or decreasing. Justify your answer and sketch the graph of P(t). (b) If P(0) = 1500, find lim P(t) as t approaches infinity and determine if the solution curve is increasing or decreasing. Justify your answer and sketch the graph of P(t). (c) If P(0) = 3000, find lim P(t) as t approaches infinity and determine if the solution curve is increasing or decreasing. Justify your answer and sketch the graph of P(t). (d) How many bears are in the park when the population of bears is growing the fastest? Justify your answer.

Solution

Let's solve the problem step by step!

The population of bears grows according to the logistic differential equation:

dPdt=5P0.002P2,\frac{dP}{dt} = 5P - 0.002P^2,

where PP is the number of bears at time tt in years.


Part (a): P(0)=100P(0) = 100

Step 1: Find limtP(t)\lim_{t \to \infty} P(t)

The logistic equation has equilibrium points when dPdt=0\frac{dP}{dt} = 0. Solving for PP: dPdt=5P0.002P2=0    P(50.002P)=0.\frac{dP}{dt} = 5P - 0.002P^2 = 0 \implies P(5 - 0.002P) = 0. This gives two equilibrium points: P=0andP=50.002=2500.P = 0 \quad \text{and} \quad P = \frac{5}{0.002} = 2500.

The equilibrium points P=0P = 0 and P=2500P = 2500 represent the population levels where the growth stops. To determine stability, analyze the sign of dPdt\frac{dP}{dt} near these points:

  • If 0<P<25000 < P < 2500, then dPdt>0\frac{dP}{dt} > 0, so the population increases.
  • If P>2500P > 2500, then dPdt<0\frac{dP}{dt} < 0, so the population decreases.

Thus, P=2500P = 2500 is a stable equilibrium, and limtP(t)=2500\lim_{t \to \infty} P(t) = 2500 for any P(0)>0P(0) > 0.

For P(0)=100P(0) = 100, the solution curve will increase towards 2500.


Step 2: Sketch the graph

For P(0)=100P(0) = 100, the population starts small and grows towards the carrying capacity of 2500. The graph is an increasing curve approaching P=2500P = 2500 asymptotically.


Part (b): P(0)=1500P(0) = 1500

Step 1: Find limtP(t)\lim_{t \to \infty} P(t)

As established, limtP(t)=2500\lim_{t \to \infty} P(t) = 2500 for any P(0)>0P(0) > 0.

For P(0)=1500P(0) = 1500, the population is below the carrying capacity, so the solution curve will increase towards 2500.


Step 2: Sketch the graph

For P(0)=1500P(0) = 1500, the population grows towards 2500, but at a slower rate compared to when P(0)=100P(0) = 100 because it starts closer to the carrying capacity. The graph is again an increasing curve approaching P=2500P = 2500 asymptotically.


Part (c): P(0)=3000P(0) = 3000

Step 1: Find limtP(t)\lim_{t \to \infty} P(t)

For P(0)=3000P(0) = 3000, the initial population is above the carrying capacity (P=2500P = 2500). The population will decrease towards the equilibrium point at P=2500P = 2500.


Step 2: Sketch the graph

For P(0)=3000P(0) = 3000, the population decreases over time and approaches 2500 asymptotically. The graph is a decreasing curve approaching P=2500P = 2500.


Part (d): Population at maximum growth rate

The logistic growth equation has the form: dPdt=rP(1PK),\frac{dP}{dt} = rP \left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right), where r=5r = 5 (growth rate) and K=2500K = 2500 (carrying capacity). The population grows the fastest when P=K2P = \frac{K}{2}.

Thus, the population of bears grows the fastest when: P=25002=1250.P = \frac{2500}{2} = 1250.


Summary of Results

  1. (a) For P(0)=100P(0) = 100, limtP(t)=2500\lim_{t \to \infty} P(t) = 2500, and the solution curve is increasing.
  2. (b) For P(0)=1500P(0) = 1500, limtP(t)=2500\lim_{t \to \infty} P(t) = 2500, and the solution curve is increasing.
  3. (c) For P(0)=3000P(0) = 3000, limtP(t)=2500\lim_{t \to \infty} P(t) = 2500, and the solution curve is decreasing.
  4. (d) The population grows the fastest when P=1250P = 1250.

Do you need further clarification or detailed steps for any part?
Here are some related questions you might consider:

  1. What is the general solution to the given logistic differential equation?
  2. How do equilibrium points affect population models in general?
  3. Can you explain the concept of carrying capacity in more detail?
  4. How does the initial population affect the time it takes to approach equilibrium?
  5. What happens if the growth rate rr or carrying capacity KK changes?

Tip: In logistic models, the population growth is fastest at half the carrying capacity because resources are optimally utilized!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Differential Equations
Logistic Growth Model
Equilibrium Points
Carrying Capacity

Formulas

dP/dt = rP(1 - P/K)
Equilibrium: dP/dt = 0
Maximum growth: P = K/2

Theorems

Logistic growth equation
Stability of equilibrium points
Behavior of solutions near equilibrium

Suitable Grade Level

College or Advanced High School (AP Calculus or equivalent)