Math Problem Statement

A statistics professor would like to build a model relating student scores on the first test to the scores on the second test. The test scores from a random sample of 21 students who have previously taken the course are given in the table.

Test Scores Student First Test Grade Second Test Grade 1 61 71 2 43 80 3 50 73 4 95 54 5 46 81 6 67 73 7 58 75 8 69 71 9 96 55 10 53 72 11 72 63 12 67 73 13 46 73 14 80 67 15 63 66 16 44 76 17 55 75 18 77 68 19 93 61 20 86 60 21 52 79 Step 1 of 2 : Using statistical software, estimate the parameters of the model

Second Test Grade=β0+β1(First Test Grade)+εi .

Enter a negative estimate as a negative number in the regression model. Round your answers to 4 decimal places, if necessary.

Solution

To estimate the parameters of the linear regression model:

Second Test Grade=β0+β1(First Test Grade)+εi\text{Second Test Grade} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 (\text{First Test Grade}) + \varepsilon_i

I will compute the least squares regression estimates using the provided data. Let me calculate this now. numpy as np import statsmodels.api as sm

Given data

first_test_scores = np.array([61, 43, 50, 95, 46, 67, 58, 69, 96, 53, 72, 67, 46, 80, 63, 44, 55, 77, 93, 86, 52]) second_test_scores = np.array([71, 80, 73, 54, 81, 73, 75, 71, 55, 72, 63, 73, 73, 67, 66, 76, 75, 68, 61, 60, 79])

Add a constant for the intercept

X = sm.add_constant(first_test_scores)

Fit the regression model

model = sm.OLS(second_test_scores, X).fit()

Extract coefficients

beta_0 = model.params[0] beta_1 = model.params[1]

Round to 4 decimal places

beta_0_rounded = round(beta_0, 4) beta_1_rounded = round(beta_1, 4)

(beta_0_rounded, beta_1_rounded)The estimated regression model is:

Second Test Grade=96.350.4059(First Test Grade)+εi\text{Second Test Grade} = 96.35 - 0.4059 (\text{First Test Grade}) + \varepsilon_i

Let me know if you need further explanation!

Related Questions:

  1. What does the negative slope indicate about the relationship between the two test scores?
  2. How can we interpret the intercept in this regression model?
  3. What statistical assumptions are required for this model to be valid?
  4. How can we check the goodness-of-fit of this regression model?
  5. What other variables might improve the predictive power of this model?

Tip:

Always check the residuals of your regression model to ensure that the assumptions of linear regression (such as homoscedasticity and normality) are not violated.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Least Squares Estimation
Model Building

Formulas

Second Test Grade = β0 + β1(First Test Grade) + εi

Theorems

Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) Estimation
Regression Analysis

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (College-level Statistics)