Math Problem Statement
find regression equation and final answer
Solution
To find the linear regression equation for this data, we need to calculate the slope () and the y-intercept () for a line in the form:
Steps to solve:
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Calculate the slope using: where is the number of data points.
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Calculate the y-intercept using:
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Substitute values into to form the regression equation.
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Project the number of cases for 2011, which corresponds to (since 2011 is 9 years after 2002).
Let's calculate this step-by-step.The linear regression equation that represents this data is:
Using this equation to project the number of new cases for the year 2011 (), we find:
Thus, the projected number of new cases for 2011 is approximately 1485.
Would you like a more detailed breakdown of these steps? Here are some related questions for further exploration:
- How do we interpret the slope and y-intercept in the context of this problem?
- What is the significance of using linear regression for predictions?
- Could we use a different type of regression if the data showed a non-linear pattern?
- How does rounding affect the accuracy of our predictions?
- What assumptions are we making with linear regression here?
Tip: Always check the correlation of your data points to see if a linear model is the best fit for predictions.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Algebra
Formulas
y = mx + b
Slope formula for linear regression: m = (nΣ(xy) - ΣxΣy) / (nΣ(x^2) - (Σx)^2)
Y-intercept formula: b = (Σy - mΣx) / n
Theorems
Linear Regression
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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