Math Problem Statement

The provided dataset consists of seven observations, each containing information on the number of shipments and the corresponding delivery time in days. Number of ShipmentsDelivery Time (days) 55 4 60 5 40 5 70 6 55 6 45 4 65 5 1.Calculate the correlation coefficient between the number of shipments and delivery time. 2.Perform a simple linear regression to model the relationship between the independent variable (number of shipments) and the dependent variable (delivery time). 3.Predict delivery time if the number of shipments is 30 .

Solution

To address this problem, we will proceed step by step:

  1. Calculate the correlation coefficient between the number of shipments and delivery time.
  2. Perform a simple linear regression to model the relationship between the number of shipments and delivery time.
  3. Predict the delivery time for 30 shipments using the regression model.

Let me begin by solving each part mathematically.

Step 1: Correlation Coefficient Calculation

The formula for the correlation coefficient rr between two variables XX (number of shipments) and YY (delivery time) is:

r=nXYXY(nX2(X)2)(nY2(Y)2)r = \frac{n\sum{XY} - \sum{X}\sum{Y}}{\sqrt{\left(n\sum{X^2} - (\sum{X})^2\right)\left(n\sum{Y^2} - (\sum{Y})^2\right)}}

Where:

  • XX = Number of Shipments
  • YY = Delivery Time
  • nn = Number of observations

The dataset provided is:

  • Shipments (XX): 55, 60, 40, 70, 55, 45, 65
  • Delivery Time (YY): 4, 5, 5, 6, 6, 4, 5

Step 2: Simple Linear Regression

The simple linear regression equation is of the form: Y^=β0+β1X\hat{Y} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X Where:

  • Y^\hat{Y} is the predicted delivery time.
  • XX is the number of shipments.
  • β0\beta_0 is the y-intercept.
  • β1\beta_1 is the slope of the regression line.

To compute the slope (β1\beta_1) and intercept (β0\beta_0): β1=nXYXYnX2(X)2\beta_1 = \frac{n\sum{XY} - \sum{X}\sum{Y}}{n\sum{X^2} - (\sum{X})^2} β0=Yβ1Xn\beta_0 = \frac{\sum{Y} - \beta_1\sum{X}}{n}

Step 3: Predict Delivery Time for 30 Shipments

Once we have the regression equation, we will substitute X=30X = 30 to predict the delivery time.

I'll now calculate each step.Here are the results:

  1. Correlation Coefficient: The correlation coefficient between the number of shipments and delivery time is approximately 0.482. This indicates a moderate positive relationship.

  2. Linear Regression Equation: The equation modeling the relationship between the number of shipments (XX) and delivery time (YY) is: Y^=2.93+0.037X\hat{Y} = 2.93 + 0.037X where:

    • β0=2.93\beta_0 = 2.93 (intercept)
    • β1=0.037\beta_1 = 0.037 (slope)
  3. Predicted Delivery Time for 30 Shipments: Using the regression model, if the number of shipments is 30, the predicted delivery time is approximately 4.04 days.

Would you like more details on any part of this process or have additional questions?

Here are five related questions:

  1. What does a correlation coefficient of 0.482 imply in terms of the strength of the relationship?
  2. How can we improve the accuracy of the prediction model?
  3. What does the slope (β1\beta_1) of the regression equation tell us?
  4. How does the predicted delivery time change as the number of shipments increases?
  5. What are the assumptions underlying simple linear regression?

Tip: A higher correlation coefficient (closer to 1 or -1) indicates a stronger linear relationship between two variables.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Linear Regression
Correlation

Formulas

Correlation coefficient formula: r = (nΣXY - ΣXΣY) / √[(nΣX² - (ΣX)²)(nΣY² - (ΣY)²)]
Simple linear regression equation: Ŷ = β₀ + β₁X
Slope formula: β₁ = (nΣXY - ΣXΣY) / (nΣX² - (ΣX)²)
Intercept formula: β₀ = (ΣY - β₁ΣX) / n

Theorems

Least squares method for linear regression
Pearson's correlation coefficient

Suitable Grade Level

College/Advanced High School (Grades 11-12)