Math Problem Statement

A random sample of 115 married or de facto couples in the Sydney region has been selected to study non-verbal communication. An experiment was conducted requiring the subject to guess words shown to the partner, without any verbal communication. Some of the variables recorded for each couple are listed below.

VariableDescription

subid

Subject ID

sex

sex of guesser

years

the length of the relationship (in years)

percentage

the percentage of correct guesses

A simple linear regression is run to answer the research question, ’What is the relation between the percentage of correct guesses and the length of the relationship (in years)?’ The results of the analysis are reported below:

        Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)

(Intercept) 37.4612 2.7930 13.4123 0 years 0.7307 0.0687 10.6365 0

Address the following questions, assuming as necessary that all test assumptions are verified.

What is the null hypothesis? Choose one among the following options:

a. The slope of the regression line is zero

b. There is a significant relation, linear or non-linear, between the two variables

c. There is no relation whatsoever, linear or non-linear, between the two variables

d. The slope of the regression line is significantly different from zero

e. The relation between the two variables is linear

f. The slope of the regression line is either positive or negative

Answer 1 Question 3 abcdef

From the test statistic as reported above, we can conclude that the estimated value of the slope is:

Answer 2 Question 3 10.64 times the population standard deviation1.96 times the population standard deviation1.96 times its standard error10.64 times its standard error

From the p-value as reported above, we can conclude that the decision of the test is:

Answer 3 Question 3 Accept H0Reject H0Do not accept H0Do not reject H0

What is the conclusion of the test?

Solution

Analysis of Simple Linear Regression

We are given the results of a simple linear regression model aimed at exploring the relationship between the length of a relationship (in years) and the percentage of correct guesses in a non-verbal communication experiment between couples.


Question 1: What is the null hypothesis?

  • Interpretation of the hypothesis options:
    • a. The slope of the regression line is zero: This would suggest that there is no linear relationship between the length of the relationship and the percentage of correct guesses.
    • b. There is a significant relation, linear or non-linear, between the two variables: This includes both linear and non-linear relationships.
    • c. There is no relation whatsoever, linear or non-linear, between the two variables: This implies no relation at all.
    • d. The slope of the regression line is significantly different from zero: This is the alternative hypothesis.
    • e. The relation between the two variables is linear: This assumes linearity but does not address statistical significance.
    • f. The slope of the regression line is either positive or negative: This just states the slope is non-zero, but doesn't specify whether it's significant.

Answer 1: a. The slope of the regression line is zero
This is the standard null hypothesis in a simple linear regression, where we test whether the slope is zero (no linear relationship).


Question 2: From the test statistic as reported above, we can conclude that the estimated value of the slope is:

  • Explanation: The test statistic for the slope is given as t = 10.6365. In linear regression, the t-statistic is calculated as the ratio of the estimated slope to its standard error.

t=Estimate of the slopeStandard Error of the slopet = \frac{\text{Estimate of the slope}}{\text{Standard Error of the slope}}

t=0.73070.068710.64t = \frac{0.7307}{0.0687} \approx 10.64

This shows that the slope estimate is 10.64 times its standard error.

Answer 2: 10.64 times its standard error


Question 3: From the p-value as reported above, we can conclude that the decision of the test is:

  • Explanation: The reported p-value is 0 (to a very small decimal). A p-value of 0 implies that the probability of observing the test statistic by chance under the null hypothesis is extremely small. Typically, if the p-value is less than a chosen significance level (commonly 0.05), we reject the null hypothesis.

Since the p-value is effectively zero, we reject the null hypothesis.

Answer 3: Reject H0


Conclusion of the Test:

  • Since we have rejected the null hypothesis, we conclude that there is a statistically significant linear relationship between the percentage of correct guesses and the length of the relationship. Specifically, the positive slope (0.7307) suggests that as the number of years in a relationship increases, the percentage of correct guesses increases.

Conclusion:

There is a significant positive linear relationship between the length of the relationship and the percentage of correct guesses in non-verbal communication.


Do you want further details or have any questions about this explanation?

Here are 5 related questions for further learning:

  1. What are the assumptions of simple linear regression?
  2. How can we interpret the intercept in this regression model?
  3. What does the t-statistic tell us about the slope in linear regression?
  4. Why is the p-value important in hypothesis testing?
  5. How would you visualize this regression result to better understand the relationship?

Tip: Always check the assumptions of linear regression, such as linearity, independence, homoscedasticity, and normality of residuals, before interpreting results.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Hypothesis Testing
Statistics

Formulas

t = Estimate of the slope / Standard Error of the slope
Simple Linear Regression formula: y = b0 + b1*x

Theorems

t-distribution
Hypothesis Testing for Regression Slope

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics