Math Problem Statement
A random sample of 148 artworks created within the last three years and sold at auction has been selected to study art auction price and prior exhibition. Some of the variables recorded for each artwork are listed below.
Variable Description subid Subject ID medium type of artwork exhibWeeks the number of weeks the artwork was exhibited before the auction price sale price (in thousands)
A simple linear regression is run to answer the research question, ’What is the relation between sale price (in thousands) and the number of weeks the artwork was exhibited before the auction?’ The results of the analysis are reported below:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 35.7358 2.0599 17.3486 0 exhibWeeks 0.7636 0.0547 13.9596 0 Address the following questions, assuming as necessary that all test assumptions are verified.
What is the null hypothesis? Choose one among the following options: a. The slope of the regression line is either positive or negative b. There is a significant relation, linear or non-linear, between the two variables c. The slope of the regression line is significantly different from zero d. The slope of the regression line is zero e. There is no relation whatsoever, linear or non-linear, between the two variables f. The relation between the two variables is linear Answer 1 Question 1 From the test statistic as reported above, we can conclude that the estimated value of the slope is: Answer 2 Question 1 From the p-value as reported above, we can conclude that the decision of the test is: Answer 3 Question 1 What is the conclusion of the test?
Solution
Let's break down and address each of the questions step by step based on the simple linear regression results provided.
Question 1: What is the null hypothesis?
The null hypothesis () in the context of simple linear regression typically refers to whether there is a relationship between the two variables in the model (i.e., the independent variable and the dependent variable).
Among the options provided, the correct null hypothesis is: d. The slope of the regression line is zero.
Explanation: In simple linear regression, the null hypothesis often tests whether the slope () is equal to zero. A slope of zero would imply that there is no relationship between the independent variable (weeks of exhibition) and the dependent variable (price in thousands). If the slope is zero, then changes in the number of exhibition weeks do not affect the sale price.
Question 2: From the test statistic as reported above, we can conclude that the estimated value of the slope is:
The test statistic for the slope of the regression line is given by the t-value, which helps determine whether the slope is significantly different from zero.
- From the regression output, the estimate of the slope is .
- The t-value associated with this estimate is 13.9596, indicating that the slope is highly statistically significant.
Thus, we conclude: The estimated value of the slope is 0.7636.
This means that for each additional week of exhibition, the artwork's price increases by 0.7636 thousand dollars (or $763.60).
Question 3: From the p-value as reported above, we can conclude that the decision of the test is:
The p-value helps us determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis.
- From the results, the p-value is 0, which is less than any reasonable significance level (e.g., 0.05, 0.01).
- Since the p-value is 0, we reject the null hypothesis.
Thus, we conclude: Reject the null hypothesis.
Conclusion of the Test:
Since the null hypothesis is rejected, the conclusion is that there is a significant positive relationship between the number of weeks an artwork was exhibited and its sale price. Specifically, the more weeks the artwork was exhibited, the higher its sale price at auction.
Follow-up Questions:
- How would the relationship between price and exhibition weeks change if the slope was negative?
- What assumptions must be satisfied for the linear regression model to be valid?
- How does the t-value help us determine the significance of the slope in regression?
- What would the conclusion be if the p-value had been greater than 0.05?
- How could you interpret the intercept of the model in this context?
Tip:
In regression analysis, always check the p-value to determine the statistical significance of the relationship between variables. A small p-value (typically <0.05) indicates that you can reject the null hypothesis, suggesting a meaningful relationship.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Hypothesis Testing
Statistical Inference
Formulas
Linear regression formula: y = β0 + β1x
t-value formula: t = (Estimate - Hypothesized Value) / Std. Error
Hypothesis test for regression: H0: β1 = 0, Ha: β1 ≠ 0
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
t-Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Level (Statistics or Data Analysis)
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